0xcb70…8444

Predicting since Nov 20211,076 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 7?Crypto	YesResolved	$100	73¢	0.0¢	-$100
Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Crypto	YesResolved	$70	35¢	0.0¢	-$70
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Tech	YesResolved	$6	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$10	18¢	0.0¢	-$10
Khamenei public appearance by February 13, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$67	83¢	0.0¢	-$67
Scorigami in Week 1 of NFL Playoffs?NFL	YesResolved	$22	22¢	0.0¢	-$22
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Politics	NoResolved	$33	33¢	0.0¢	-$33
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$63	61¢	0.0¢	-$63
Will Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$35	50¢	0.0¢	-$35
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Tech	NoResolved	$60	60¢	0.0¢	-$60
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?Culture	YesResolved	$100	71¢	0.0¢	-$100
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Crypto	NoResolved	$24	16¢	0.0¢	-$24
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$100	84¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Crypto	NoResolved	$40	20¢	0.0¢	-$40
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Tech	NoResolved	$50	23¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$146	54¢	0.0¢	-$146
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?Tech	NoResolved	$186	71¢	0.0¢	-$186
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$20	43¢	0.0¢	-$20
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$72	72¢	0.0¢	-$72
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Crypto	NoResolved	$8	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$267

Culture-$100

Politics-$40

Crypto+$34

NFL-$22

Weather+$2

Biggest hit

+$142

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

Toughest beat

-$223

US government shutdown Saturday?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?$6420d ago
Cashed out No · Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by August 31, 2026?$6420d ago
Bought No · Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by August 31, 2026?$601mo ago
Sold No · Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$615mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$1466mo ago
Cashed out No · DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$1466mo ago
Bought No · DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$1456mo ago
Bought No · GPT-5.4 released by March 5?$506mo ago
Cashed out No · ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?$786mo ago
Cashed out No · Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?$1176mo ago
Bought No · Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$537mo ago
Sold Yes · ChatGPT Outage by February 28?$97mo ago