← Whale Watch

sepehrs

Predicting since Jan 20261,168 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.1K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $549 riding on Iran leadership change by...?.

Biggest hit: +$1.1K on Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$54968¢21¢-$383
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$12424¢20¢-$21
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$1449.3¢6.0¢-$51
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsYes$605.1¢3.5¢-$20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$8028¢13¢-$44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$8011¢4.5¢-$46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsYes$8717¢5.5¢-$58
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$103.8¢5.2¢+$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsYes$2034¢21¢-$8
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$2027¢7.0¢-$15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$2140¢8.5¢-$17
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$56.4¢5.1¢-$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$1017¢6.5¢-$6
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$75.0¢2.1¢-$4
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$514¢4.5¢-$3
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?Soccer (other)NoResolved$239¢0.0¢-$2
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersMLBChicago White SoxResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)College HoopsNorthern Iowa PanthersResolved$248¢0.0¢-$2
Nuggets vs. SpursNBASpursResolved$964¢0.0¢-$9
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28?Soccer (other)NoResolved$351¢0.0¢-$3
Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2513¢0.0¢-$25
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Champions LeagueOverResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
Hurricanes vs. IslandersNHLIslandersResolved$661¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: Suns (-8.5)NBAPacersResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
Jazz vs. GrizzliesNBAJazzResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Stars vs. PenguinsNHLPenguinsResolved$944¢0.0¢-$9
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)NBASpursResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Predators vs. SharksNHLSharksResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 164.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)NBATimberwolvesResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue JaysMLBToronto Blue JaysResolved$357¢0.0¢-$3
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?La LigaNoResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsBNK FEARXResolved$4554¢0.0¢-$45
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White SoxMLBChicago White SoxResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsDN SOOPersResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 WinnereSportsB8Resolved$229¢0.0¢-$2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?BundesligaNoResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)NBARaptorsResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)NBATrail BlazersResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Canucks vs. Golden KnightsNHLCanucksResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?La LigaNoResolved$443¢0.0¢-$4
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)NBA76ersResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)College HoopsMichigan WolverinesResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-03?Soccer (other)NoResolved$472¢0.0¢-$4
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)NBASpursResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffseSportsTeam VitalityResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureNoResolved$760¢0.0¢-$7
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5MLBOverResolved$253¢0.0¢-$2
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosMLBHouston AstrosResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5MLBOverResolved$1446¢0.0¢-$14
Rockets vs. LakersNBARocketsResolved$1964¢0.0¢-$19
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3034¢0.0¢-$30
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)NBATimberwolvesResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Maple Leafs vs. LightningNHLMaple LeafsResolved$1434¢0.0¢-$14
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5NBAOverResolved$1637¢0.0¢-$16
Spread: Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks (-9.5)Basketball (other)Binghamton BearcatsResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$56.8¢0.0¢-$5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageeSportsB8Resolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffseSportsMIBRResolved$641¢0.0¢-$6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageeSportsPARIVISIONResolved$772¢0.0¢-$7
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$52.3¢0.0¢-$5
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group DeSportsASTRALResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
Stars vs. BruinsNHLStarsResolved$655¢0.0¢-$6
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?MLSYesResolved$639¢0.0¢-$6
Lightning vs. SenatorsNHLLightningResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasoneSportsTeam HereticsResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?Soccer (other)NoResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5MLBUnderResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-25?MLSYesResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasoneSportsGround Zero GamingResolved$643¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-4.5)Basketball (other)Youngstown State PenguinsResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5NBAUnderResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnereSportsWildcardResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Sharks vs. OilersNHLSharksResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Bradley Braves vs. Dayton FlyersBasketball (other)Bradley BravesResolved$1038¢0.0¢-$10
Cavaliers vs. BucksNBACavaliersResolved$357¢0.0¢-$3
Ducks vs. UtahNHLUtahResolved$856¢0.0¢-$8
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffseSportsMovistar KOIResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?Champions LeagueNoResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles DodgersMLBCleveland GuardiansResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-8.5)Basketball (other)Murray State RacersResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Celtics vs. LakersNBALakersResolved$1249¢0.0¢-$12
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)NBAGrizzliesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Maple Leafs vs. CanadiensNHLMaple LeafsResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Celtics vs. HeatNBAHeatResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5NBAUnderResolved$351¢0.0¢-$3
Lightning vs. SabresNHLLightningResolved$852¢0.0¢-$8
Timberwolves vs. SpursNBASpursResolved$476¢0.0¢-$4
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)NBAMavericksResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Devils vs. PredatorsNHLPredatorsResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas LonghornsCollege HoopsNorth Carolina State WolfpackResolved$250¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)NBAClippersResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Trump re-sues WSJ by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$762¢0.0¢-$7
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Raptors vs. NuggetsNBARaptorsResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageeSportsGamerLegionResolved$229¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)NBARaptorsResolved$258¢0.0¢-$2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?La LigaYesResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Blue Jackets vs. FlyersNHLFlyersResolved$744¢0.0¢-$7
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 PlayoffseSportsRUSTECResolved$1230¢0.0¢-$12

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.1K
NBA+$118
eSports-$114
MLB-$30
Basketball (other)-$29
MLS-$20
UFC / MMA+$20
Premier League+$19
La Liga+$13
NHL-$11
Tennis-$10
Champions League-$8
Biggest hit
+$1.1K
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$15
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$5022h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$301d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$211d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$501d ago
  • Sold Yes · Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?$112d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$412d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$1002d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$502d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?$104d ago
  • Bought Yes · Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$54d ago
  • Bought Yes · Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$104d ago