Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $115 | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$25 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $52 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US government shutdown by October 1?Politics | NoResolved | $150 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will valid votes be between 5.8-6 million in Bolivia election?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will ANO get more than 36% of the vote in the Czech election?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Politics | YesResolved | $593 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$593 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $121 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Red Bloc win by 12–15 seats?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $48 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Will DIY hold the second most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the red bloc win between 90 and 92 seats in the Norwegian election?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 6% and 9%?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will turnout be greater than 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland in August?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Danish People’s Party win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Politics | YesResolved | $65 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?Politics | YesResolved | $381 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$381 |
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | NoResolved | $50 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will turnout be between 900000 and 1000000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Quiroga win by 7-12%?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $170 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will DPP hold the second most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $202 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$202 |
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Přísaha get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Aubrey Norton win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $60 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | YesResolved | $50 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $40 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $75 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will CDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 85% and 90%?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will STAČILO! get between 5% and 8% of the vote in the Czech election?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the blue bloc win between 78 and 80 seats in the Norwegian election?Politics | YesResolved | $85 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Politics | NoResolved | $286 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$286 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Patient Focus (PF) win a seat in Norwegian Election?Politics | YesResolved | $67 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Liberal Alliance win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will ANO get between 27% and 30% of the vote in the Czech election?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will Danish People’s Party win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $53 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |