← Whale Watch

AlfredTheShiller

Predicting since Jul 20241,354 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $6.0K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $13K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$6.5K50¢87¢+$4.9K
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$8.7K81¢89¢+$831
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6.5K50¢13¢-$4.9K
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$3.9K54¢18¢-$2.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.1K54¢57¢+$82
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$100010¢9.5¢-$50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$75776¢80¢+$46
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$50551¢50¢-$10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1.4K47¢15¢-$953
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1.2K11¢3.6¢-$785
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?TechYes$2505.0¢4.5¢-$22
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$21021¢16¢-$50
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.9¢2.6¢+$88
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherYes$161.0¢7.8¢+$113
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$17140¢26¢-$61
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsYes$5521¢36¢+$39
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$7560¢74¢+$17
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?CryptoYes$42821¢4.5¢-$338
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$1005.0¢3.9¢-$22
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1434.3¢2.3¢-$68
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$4.1K44¢0.7¢-$4.0K
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherYes$168.0¢12¢+$8
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$13027¢2.9¢-$117
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$230.5¢0.3¢-$12
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$251¢84¢+$1
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$14528¢0.7¢-$141
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$111.7¢0.5¢-$8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K34¢0.0¢-$3.4K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$6.0K
Crypto-$4.0K
Mentions+$1.7K
Economy-$1.4K
Other sports+$415
Other-$298
Tech+$246
NFL-$208
Soccer (other)-$166
Weather+$142
Tennis-$121
Olympics-$88
Biggest hit
+$2.0K
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3051d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$231d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$111d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$151d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4031d ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5203d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$214d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$14d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$34d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$14d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$4164d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$1804d ago