AlfredTheShiller

Predicting since Jul 20241,370 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $33K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $9.9K riding on Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$20K on Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics	No	$9.9K	81¢	85¢	+$414
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$3.9K	54¢	49¢	-$336
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$3.3K	83¢	86¢	+$90
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$1000	10¢	26¢	+$1.5K
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy	Yes	$1.7K	69¢	71¢	+$38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	Yes	$3.2K	45¢	20¢	-$1.8K
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	No	$505	51¢	83¢	+$320
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$1.2K	11¢	4.7¢	-$685
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto	Yes	$350	17¢	18¢	+$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy	No	$1.4K	47¢	7.1¢	-$1.2K
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Crypto	Yes	$428	21¢	4.9¢	-$330
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$75	60¢	71¢	+$13
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL	Yes	$100	5.0¢	3.9¢	-$23
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics	Yes	$100	20¢	14¢	-$28
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$143	4.3¢	1.1¢	-$107
Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather	Yes	$4	3.0¢	13¢	+$15
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather	Yes	$16	8.0¢	6.5¢	-$3
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$130	27¢	1.7¢	-$123
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	Yes	$23	0.5¢	0.1¢	-$16
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$2	51¢	79¢	+$1
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics	Yes	$55	21¢	1.3¢	-$52
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics	YesResolved	$27	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$27
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in August?Politics	YesResolved	$22	11¢	0.0¢	-$22