← Whale Watch
TheIronBank
Down $13K on Politics markets since Aug 2024.
Right now: $6.3K across 5 Politics markets.
Biggest hit: +$1.3K on Israel military action against Iran before July?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $104 | 52¢ | 21¢ | -$63 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?Economy | Yes | $137 | 63¢ | 6.0¢ | -$124 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Economy | Yes | $25 | 63¢ | 32¢ | -$12 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | No | $24 | 86¢ | 37¢ | -$14 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Economy | Yes | $36 | 47¢ | 2.5¢ | -$34 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.7K | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $604 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$604 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1.4K | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.9K | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $396 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$396 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $884 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$884 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $270 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$270 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen
Politics-$13K
Champions League+$1.9K
Crypto-$1.0K
Soccer (other)-$821
Premier League+$642
Boxing-$410
Tennis-$312
Economy-$192
Mentions-$98
Other-$71
eSports+$55
Culture+$52
Biggest hit
+$1.3K
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Toughest beat
-$5.0K
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Recent moves
Sold No · Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?$143mo ago- Sold No · Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?$943mo ago
- Sold No · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$1173mo ago
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1553mo ago- Sold No · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$1863mo ago
Sold No · Iran leadership change by December 31?$2133mo ago- Sold No · Iran leadership change by April 30?$3853mo ago
Sold Yes · NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?$2103mo ago- Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4643mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?$13mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?$13mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1043mo ago