← Whale Watch

FrankyFourFingers

Predicting since Feb 20226,273 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $14K on Politics markets since Feb 2022.

Right now: $1.2K across 5 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$40568¢96¢+$165
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$12611¢34¢+$253
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsYes$7417¢78¢+$259
Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?PoliticsYes$8827¢95¢+$222
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$52581¢47¢-$219
Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?PoliticsNo$28495¢98¢+$9
Will the Republican Party win the SC-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$27391¢94¢+$8
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$27090¢94¢+$11
Will Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsNo$26897¢100¢+$9
Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$27090¢90¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?PoliticsYes$23867¢61¢-$22
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?PoliticsNo$19798¢100¢+$2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?PoliticsNo$15477¢99¢+$44
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$18894¢98¢+$7
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$18090¢97¢+$15
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$16683¢97¢+$28
Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$18995¢97¢+$5
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$17688¢96¢+$17
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$18090¢95¢+$9
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$14352¢68¢+$43
Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$17085¢93¢+$15
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$18184¢84¢+$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$20026¢24¢-$19
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$13084¢100¢+$24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$15043¢44¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?PoliticsYes$1369.5¢11¢+$14
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$13995¢100¢+$7
Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat?PoliticsYes$13590¢94¢+$5
Maduro guilty of all counts?PoliticsNo$17867¢51¢-$44
Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?PoliticsNo$11990¢100¢+$13
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$12893¢94¢+$1
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNo$12194¢98¢+$5
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$8310.0¢15¢+$41
Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?PoliticsYes$9053¢71¢+$31
Will Rudy Moise be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsNo$11798¢100¢+$2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$9110¢14¢+$28
Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsNo$10792¢99¢+$9
Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsYes$6611¢19¢+$45
Will James Ingram be the Republican nominee for MO-06?PoliticsNo$10195¢100¢+$5
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?PoliticsYes$7968¢87¢+$23
Will Deaglan McEachern win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$9796¢99¢+$3
Will Marty Tuley win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$9898¢100¢+$2
Will Andy Levin be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsNo$9292¢100¢+$8
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?PoliticsNo$9393¢100¢+$7
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$9910¢11¢+$1
Will John Rodgers win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$9393¢99¢+$6
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$9794¢97¢+$3
Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$7373¢99¢+$26
Will the Republican Party win the MO-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$9090¢98¢+$8
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?PoliticsNo$9393¢96¢+$3
Will Brian Jaye be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsNo$9094¢100¢+$6
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?PoliticsYes$16259¢35¢-$66
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?PoliticsYes$9393¢96¢+$3
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsYes$17756¢30¢-$82
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$12278¢60¢-$29
Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$9090¢93¢+$3
Will Marcus Carter be the Republican nominee for FL-09?PoliticsNo$9090¢91¢+$1
Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsNo$8493¢100¢+$5
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$7315¢18¢+$15
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$8181¢88¢+$7
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?PoliticsNo$9871¢64¢-$11
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$9616¢14¢-$9
Will the Republican Party win the IL-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$8294¢98¢+$3
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$912.3¢2.1¢-$6
Will the Movement for the Liberation of the Central African People win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?PoliticsNo$8398¢100¢+$2
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$14093¢56¢-$56
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$8393¢93¢-$0
Will Garlin Gilchrist win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$7998¢99¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$7610.0¢11¢+$4
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$13294¢55¢-$54
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?PoliticsNo$8080¢75¢-$5
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$4749¢78¢+$28
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$7393¢95¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$7291¢94¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$4118¢34¢+$33
Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?PoliticsNo$7292¢95¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$4849¢75¢+$25
Will the National Movement of Independents win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?PoliticsNo$7298¢100¢+$1
Will Dale Holness be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsNo$6487¢100¢+$9
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$11694¢59¢-$43
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3939¢72¢+$32
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$11355¢34¢-$42
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$8711¢8.9¢-$16
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$7212¢12¢-$3
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsNo$6188¢97¢+$6
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$6694¢95¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$6390¢95¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?PoliticsNo$6082¢89¢+$5
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2734¢81¢+$38
Will Mark Stewart Greenstein be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?PoliticsNo$6397¢100¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-43 House seat?PoliticsYes$6091¢95¢+$2
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$546.7¢7.5¢+$6
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?CryptoYes$588.7¢9.0¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$5741¢44¢+$3
Will Patrick Mosolf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?PoliticsNo$5693¢100¢+$4
Anduril IPO before 2027?TechNo$3758¢94¢+$23
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1063.3¢1.8¢-$47
Will the Republican Party win the PA-14 House seat?PoliticsYes$5892¢94¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the CA-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$5490¢97¢+$4
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$6115¢14¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$14K
Finance-$2.9K
Crypto-$710
Tech-$541
Golf-$410
Mentions-$402
Economy-$169
Other-$143
Premier League+$127
Other sports-$118
Olympics-$94
Weather-$73
Biggest hit
+$466
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
Toughest beat
-$558
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will there be between 110m and 115m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?$23d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$03d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?$504d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$415d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?$107d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?$117d ago