Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | No | $1.1K | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$220 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Tech | Yes | $646 | 46¢ | 75¢ | +$416 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Tech | Yes | $509 | 60¢ | 91¢ | +$255 |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $525 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$45 |
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Meta | $511 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$42 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $423 | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$73 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $423 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$55 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $458 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$5 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | No | $399 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$40 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tech | Yes | $186 | 47¢ | 95¢ | +$189 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $320 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$30 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $267 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$21 |
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $279 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $253 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $234 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $221 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Tech | No | $207 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$14 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by September 30?Tech | No | $221 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $186 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$11 |
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | Yes | $180 | 23¢ | 25¢ | +$14 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $164 | 82¢ | 96¢ | +$28 |
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $174 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$10 |
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $217 | 75¢ | 59¢ | -$47 |
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Tech | No | $148 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $200 | 1.7¢ | 1.4¢ | -$41 |
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | Yes | $92 | 32¢ | 56¢ | +$66 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $41 | 15¢ | 53¢ | +$102 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by September 30?Tech | No | $139 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $156 | 87¢ | 74¢ | -$24 |
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $313 | 26¢ | 11¢ | -$186 |
Trump out as President by September 30?Politics | No | $120 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $279 | 86¢ | 37¢ | -$160 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $101 | 52¢ | 62¢ | +$18 |
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Economy | No | $88 | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$13 |
Anthropic acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $92 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $84 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $92 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $90 | 72¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $181 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$94 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $87 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
Diddy released from custody in 2026?Politics | No | $91 | 91¢ | 85¢ | -$6 |
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $70 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by September 30?Finance | No | $82 | 51¢ | 44¢ | -$11 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.275T by September 30?Tech | No | $66 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $66 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $56 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $95 | 6.8¢ | 3.8¢ | -$42 |
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 11¢ | 27¢ | +$28 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | No | $78 | 20¢ | 12¢ | -$34 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $35 | 77¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $32 | 63¢ | 83¢ | +$10 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $48 | 9.8¢ | 7.8¢ | -$10 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | No | $36 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $34 | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $31 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $151 | 10¢ | 2.3¢ | -$117 |
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | No | $28 | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $33 | 55¢ | 47¢ | -$5 |
Will Thomas Goes win the next Göttingen mayoral election?Politics | No | $29 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 29¢ | 93¢ | +$19 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $504 | 14¢ | 0.8¢ | -$477 |
Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $228 | 47¢ | 5.0¢ | -$203 |
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $21 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?Tech | OpenAI | $11 | 35¢ | 66¢ | +$10 |
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $15 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
Will Ehsan Kangarani win the next Göttingen mayoral election?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $7 | 51¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 21¢ | +$3 |
Will 6 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.9¢ | 21¢ | +$5 |
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Tech | No | $24 | 44¢ | 9.0¢ | -$19 |
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $4 | 70¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?Economy | No | $2 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $2 | 9.6¢ | 9.5¢ | -$0 |
Will BP be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $0 | 10¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $31 | 14¢ | 0.8¢ | -$29 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Tech | Yes | $1 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $54 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Finance | NoResolved | $60 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $194 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$194 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5World Cup | OverResolved | $120 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $19 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Don Lemon charges dropped?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 21?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $121 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $45M and $50M at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |