 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 26?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Boxing | YesResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 4, 11AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 21?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 29?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 24?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Nuggets vs. HornetsNBA | HornetsResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 1 above $90?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 3?Finance | DownResolved | $1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Grok 4.20 released by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Lakers vs. CelticsNBA | LakersResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 20?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| 2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 23?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 4?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$19d ago
Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$211d ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$22mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$12mo ago