← Whale Watch

rocky42004

Predicting since Jun 20255,860 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.1K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $961 across 9 MLS markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on July 26?WeatherNo$43591¢100¢+$45
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$29526¢34¢+$92
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$25364¢79¢+$58
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$25083¢88¢+$15
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$24787¢88¢+$0
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$23997¢96¢-$3
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$20997¢99¢+$4
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyYes$21271¢64¢-$21
Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?NBANo$18098¢100¢+$4
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyYes$18662¢61¢-$5
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$17698¢99¢+$3
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?NBANo$9958¢100¢+$72
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$16784¢82¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 27?WeatherNo$14877¢82¢+$9
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$25941¢24¢-$109
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?NBANo$7594¢100¢+$5
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$8422¢20¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 26?WeatherNo$11374¢51¢-$35
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$8729¢22¢-$22
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsYes$7032¢30¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?WeatherNo$6777¢72¢-$4
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsYes$8127¢21¢-$20
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyYes$5537¢39¢+$2
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$5117¢19¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?WeatherYes$4925¢28¢+$6
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$749.0¢6.5¢-$21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$7023¢16¢-$24
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$5819¢14¢-$18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 26?WeatherNo$2877¢95¢+$6
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$3190¢88¢-$1
Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?OtherNo$2152¢71¢+$8
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 27?WeatherYes$2214¢18¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?WeatherYes$2321¢25¢+$5
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$16517¢2.8¢-$138
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$1449¢90¢+$12
Will Josh Jacobs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?NFLYes$219.0¢10¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-12 House seat?PoliticsNo$288.0¢6.5¢-$5
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$2394¢94¢-$0
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3612¢7.0¢-$15
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$2243¢40¢-$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$186.0¢6.5¢+$1
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$1778¢88¢+$2
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$1797¢99¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 27?WeatherYes$1920¢18¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 27?WeatherYes$3220¢11¢-$15
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?NBANo$1696¢100¢+$1
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?NBANo$1495¢100¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1463¢66¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on July 27?WeatherNo$1389¢96¢+$1
3M Open: Hole-in-One?GolfNo$1168¢80¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 26?WeatherYes$2317¢8.5¢-$12
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$577.8¢1.6¢-$46
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?Soccer (other)No$2120¢9.6¢-$11
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsYes$46.0¢13¢+$5
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?PoliticsYes$175.0¢2.6¢-$8
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsYes$155.1¢2.7¢-$7
Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?OtherYes$932¢30¢-$1
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$389.3¢1.9¢-$30
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyYes$72.4¢2.6¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 27?WeatherYes$85.0¢4.0¢-$2
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$123.0¢1.7¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 26?WeatherNo$580¢92¢+$1
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBANo$497¢100¢+$0
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsYes$72.3¢1.3¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 27?WeatherNo$376¢90¢+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?PoliticsNo$368¢87¢+$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$62.2¢1.1¢-$3
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?CryptoYes$262¢67¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?NBANo$294¢100¢+$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?PoliticsNo$191¢92¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$2.1K
Basketball (other)+$1.0K
NBA-$982
Soccer (other)+$844
eSports-$809
Weather-$664
UFC / MMA+$647
Premier League+$626
Culture+$453
Champions League-$369
Crypto+$326
Hockey (other)-$250
Biggest hit
+$992
Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?
Toughest beat
-$469
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Hanwha Eagles · KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles$021m ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 26?$1121m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 27?$027m ago
  • Sold No · Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$4145m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 27?$252m ago
  • Sold No · Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$221h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 27?$191h ago
  • Sold No · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$121h ago
  • Bought No · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$52h ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 26?$52h ago
  • Bought No · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$62h ago
  • Bought No · 3M Open: Hole-in-One?$112h ago