Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $295 | 26¢ | 49¢ | +$265 |
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?Politics | No | $438 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$5 |
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $314 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$2 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?Politics | No | $239 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$33 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $243 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$9 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $229 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | No | $201 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $186 | 62¢ | 61¢ | -$4 |
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | No | $176 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $156 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$10 |
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $179 | 47¢ | 39¢ | -$32 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 12?Weather | No | $132 | 74¢ | 71¢ | -$6 |
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Politics | Yes | $99 | 33¢ | 40¢ | +$20 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $118 | 47¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | No | $135 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$37 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 12?Weather | No | $87 | 49¢ | 54¢ | +$8 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $60 | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$24 |
Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Politics | No | $75 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$5 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $123 | 38¢ | 25¢ | -$43 |
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $66 | 22¢ | 25¢ | +$8 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $63 | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$10 |
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Politics | No | $67 | 62¢ | 60¢ | -$2 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $89 | 30¢ | 21¢ | -$28 |
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 11?Weather | No | $128 | 45¢ | 20¢ | -$71 |
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $49 | 27¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $47 | 69¢ | 66¢ | -$2 |
Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Politics | Yes | $42 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $52 | 56¢ | 38¢ | -$16 |
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat?Politics | No | $74 | 9.0¢ | 4.3¢ | -$39 |
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 11?Weather | No | $33 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $45 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$12 |
Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?Politics | Yes | $46 | 35¢ | 25¢ | -$13 |
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | No | $28 | 7.3¢ | 8.3¢ | +$4 |
Antalya 4: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alevtina IbragimovaTennis | Aurora Zantedeschi | $30 | 38¢ | 39¢ | +$0 |
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Politics | Yes | $50 | 23¢ | 12¢ | -$25 |
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $45 | 19¢ | 11¢ | -$19 |
Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Politics | No | $16 | 34¢ | 50¢ | +$7 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 14¢ | 22¢ | +$8 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-12 House seat?Politics | No | $28 | 8.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$9 |
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | No | $22 | 39¢ | 32¢ | -$4 |
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | Yes | $17 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?La Liga | No | $14 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Politics | No | $12 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $12 | 46¢ | 40¢ | -$2 |
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 11?Weather | No | $6 | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?Other | Yes | $9 | 32¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $17 | 78¢ | 44¢ | -$7 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $17 | 5.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$8 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 5.1¢ | 2.9¢ | -$6 |
Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $18 | 4.9¢ | 2.3¢ | -$9 |
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | Yes | $8 | 76¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.3¢ | 2.5¢ | +$0 |
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | Yes | $57 | 7.8¢ | 0.9¢ | -$50 |
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Will Josh Jacobs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?NFL | Yes | $21 | 9.0¢ | 2.8¢ | -$15 |
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Politics | No | $4 | 53¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 11?Weather | No | $7 | 41¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 11?Weather | Yes | $8 | 14¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 11?Weather | No | $4 | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $6 | 19¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | Yes | $9 | 3.0¢ | 1.1¢ | -$5 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.7¢ | 3.1¢ | +$0 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 68¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 9.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 11?Weather | No | $73 | 48¢ | 2.0¢ | -$70 |
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 23¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 11?Weather | No | $83 | 41¢ | 1.5¢ | -$80 |
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 32¢ | 7.5¢ | -$9 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 11?Weather | No | $2 | 72¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $8 | 34¢ | 10¢ | -$5 |
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 110-114 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 62¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 44¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsTennis | No | $1 | 12¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsTennis | Yes | $1 | 84¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.7¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1 |
Will "The Whisper Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $6 | 10¢ | 2.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1 | 1.9¢ | 1.7¢ | -$0 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | No | $1 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $1 | 76¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $8 | 24¢ | 2.9¢ | -$7 |