asfdt1

Predicting since Dec 2025415 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	No	$19	76¢	75¢	-$0
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy	Yes	$9	66¢	67¢	+$0
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy	Yes	$6	48¢	55¢	+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics	No	$6	60¢	56¢	-$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics	Yes	$4	31¢	37¢	+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$5	46¢	45¢	-$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$4	29¢	33¢	+$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$4	73¢	80¢	+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics	Yes	$1	10¢	51¢	+$3
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics	No	$3	53¢	64¢	+$1
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics	No	$4	26¢	22¢	-$1
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics	No	$3	96¢	96¢	-$0
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics	Yes	$2	31¢	33¢	+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$2	72¢	79¢	+$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	36¢	38¢	+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	12¢	11¢	-$0
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy	No	$2	65¢	75¢	+$0
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy	Yes	$2	61¢	55¢	-$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$2	84¢	86¢	+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$2	62¢	44¢	-$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	Yes	$0	16¢	55¢	+$1
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?Politics	NoResolved	$0	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Politics	YesResolved	$2	8.8¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Culture	YesResolved	$1	5.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Politics	YesResolved	$2	15¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Politics	YesResolved	$1	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Politics	NoResolved	$1	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Economy+$30

Soccer (other)+$20

Politics-$11

Crypto+$9

NHL-$4

Olympics-$3

Culture-$3

Finance-$2

Tennis+$2

Basketball (other)+$1

La Liga-$1

Weather+$1

Biggest hit

+$109

Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Toughest beat

-$19

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Recent moves

Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$12h ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$21d ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$11d ago
Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$31d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$21d ago
Sold No · Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$01d ago
Bought Yes · Will Kai Stephens get second place in the Clacton by-election?$01d ago
Bought Yes · Will Piers Corbyn get second place in the Clacton by-election?$01d ago
Bought No · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$21d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$01d ago
Sold No · Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$21d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$01d ago