← Whale Watch

tinknows

Predicting since Nov 202561 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.9K on Crypto markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $547 riding on US bank failure by January 31?.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$46593¢100¢+$33
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$46092¢95¢+$16
Discord IPO before 2027?TechYes$45090¢35¢-$274
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsYes$35070¢25¢-$228
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsYes$9378¢86¢+$9
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsYes$15030¢16¢-$73
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceYes$20040¢9.5¢-$152
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$12012¢3.6¢-$84
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?TechYesResolved$6060¢0.0¢-$60
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$101.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureYesResolved$45088¢0.0¢-$450
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$9292¢0.0¢-$92
US bank failure by January 31?EconomyNoResolved$54791¢0.0¢-$547
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$8016¢0.0¢-$80
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$10082¢0.0¢-$100
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYesResolved$2007.5¢0.0¢-$200
Will Trump visit China by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$6012¢0.0¢-$60

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$1.9K
Economy-$714
Culture-$587
Finance-$302
Politics+$224
Tech-$110
World Cup+$40
NBA-$13
Mentions+$8
Olympics-$6
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Toughest beat
-$366
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$4310d ago
  • Bought No · Will Daniel Negreanu Cash the WSOP Main Event 2026?$1013d ago
  • Bought No · Will Daniel Negreanu Cash the WSOP Main Event 2026?$1013d ago