steeplejack

Predicting since Mar 202688 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $121K on eSports markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $136K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$296K on Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$31K	17¢	0.0¢	-$31K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$330	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$330
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$4.4K	45¢	0.0¢	-$4.4K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics	YesResolved	$3.1K	15¢	0.0¢	-$3.1K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$788	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$788
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$110	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$110
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$110	10¢	0.0¢	-$110
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto	YesResolved	$9.0K	56¢	0.0¢	-$9.0K
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Politics	YesResolved	$38K	17¢	0.0¢	-$38K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$147	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$147
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics	NoResolved	$7.9K	4.2¢	0.0¢	-$7.9K
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$1.1K	12¢	0.0¢	-$1.1K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$888	24¢	0.0¢	-$888
Trump kiss by May 31?Politics	NoResolved	$295	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$295
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$9.4K	51¢	0.0¢	-$9.4K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2.2K	15¢	0.0¢	-$2.2K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$105K	66¢	0.0¢	-$105K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$103	55¢	0.0¢	-$103
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2.2K	10¢	0.0¢	-$2.2K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$3.3K	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$3.3K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

eSports-$121K

Politics-$106K

NHL-$39K

Crypto-$31K

Mentions+$3.9K

NBA-$811

UFC / MMA-$214

Boxing-$42

Tech-$5

Biggest hit

+$296K

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Toughest beat

-$245K

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Recent moves

Cashed out Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival$10K1mo ago
Bought PlayTime · Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival$9.6K1mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.3K2mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$67K2mo ago
Sold No · Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$1.3K2mo ago
Sold No · Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$402mo ago
Sold No · Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$52mo ago
Sold No · Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$1002mo ago
Sold No · Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$502mo ago
Sold No · Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$02mo ago
Sold No · Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$412mo ago
Sold No · Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$3932mo ago