← Whale Watch

Kickstand8

Predicting since Dec 2021339 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $127K on Politics markets since Dec 2021.

Right now: $1.3K riding on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?.

Biggest hit: +$15K on Will there be a US Government shutdown? .

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$401.0¢0.0¢-$40
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?PoliticsYesResolved$381.1¢0.0¢-$38
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?PoliticsYesResolved$461.8¢0.0¢-$46
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?PoliticsYesResolved$341.1¢0.0¢-$34
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?PoliticsYesResolved$612.0¢0.0¢-$61
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1811.8¢0.0¢-$181
Israel strikes Syria by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$70721¢0.0¢-$707
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?PoliticsYesResolved$531.1¢0.0¢-$53
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?PoliticsYesResolved$1562.4¢0.0¢-$156
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2616.5¢0.0¢-$261
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2083.9¢0.0¢-$208
US strike on Mexico by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$281.4¢0.0¢-$28
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?PoliticsYesResolved$351.0¢0.0¢-$35
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?PoliticsYesResolved$691.4¢0.0¢-$69
Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?PoliticsYesResolved$1054.8¢0.0¢-$105
Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$430.9¢0.0¢-$43
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$991.7¢0.0¢-$99
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$501.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will between 290 and 299 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?PoliticsYesResolved$27514¢0.0¢-$275
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 22?PoliticsYesResolved$110.3¢0.0¢-$11
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?PoliticsYesResolved$1203.0¢0.0¢-$120
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?PoliticsYesResolved$211.0¢0.0¢-$21
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?PoliticsYesResolved$35012¢0.0¢-$350
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?PoliticsYesResolved$380.9¢0.0¢-$38
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$251.3¢0.0¢-$25
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2232.2¢0.0¢-$223
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?PoliticsYesResolved$481.0¢0.0¢-$48
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6?PoliticsYesResolved$712.4¢0.0¢-$71
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 14?PoliticsYesResolved$802.3¢0.0¢-$80
Will Trump release more Epstein files in June?PoliticsYesResolved$1854.9¢0.0¢-$185
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?PoliticsNoResolved$2223.7¢0.0¢-$222
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$971.6¢0.0¢-$97
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?PoliticsYesResolved$400.8¢0.0¢-$40
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 15?PoliticsYesResolved$431.4¢0.0¢-$43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K5.2¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$1775.9¢0.0¢-$177
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10?PoliticsYesResolved$521.7¢0.0¢-$52
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$402.0¢0.0¢-$40
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1663.3¢0.0¢-$166
North Korea missile test by September 15?PoliticsYesResolved$63316¢0.0¢-$633
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 13?PoliticsYesResolved$702.0¢0.0¢-$70
US strike on Cuba by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$521.7¢0.0¢-$52

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$127K
Other-$48K
NHL+$372
Culture-$293
Tech-$197
Weather-$126
Mentions-$58
Biggest hit
+$15K
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Toughest beat
-$26K
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$32mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$02mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$72mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$102mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Israel strike Syria on July 23?$02mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$02mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?$02mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 5?$02mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Israel strike Syria on July 21?$02mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 9?$02mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?$02mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?$02mo ago