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PoliPil0t

Predicting since Jul 202640 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$9268¢77¢+$13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$6795¢100¢+$3
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?MentionsNo$6390¢98¢+$6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5694¢92¢-$2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$4181¢94¢+$6
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$3690¢99¢+$3
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$3080¢94¢+$5
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$6181¢45¢-$28
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$3290¢90¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$5490¢51¢-$23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$2161¢90¢+$10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$1860¢63¢+$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1333¢42¢+$3
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1016¢23¢+$4
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$1044¢61¢+$4
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$1530¢25¢-$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1525¢18¢-$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1525¢18¢-$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$986¢97¢+$1
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$740¢41¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$513¢17¢+$1
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$48.3¢9.8¢+$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsYes$2068¢16¢-$16
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1954¢4.3¢-$18
Will Trump say "Movie Star" during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsYesResolved$416¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsNoResolved$5490¢0.0¢-$54
Will Trump say "Central Casting" during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsYesResolved$1023¢0.0¢-$10
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?PoliticsYesResolved$83.2¢0.0¢-$8
Will Donald Trump's tie be yellow?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsNoResolved$1028¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$50
Finance+$25
Mentions-$13
Economy+$4
Soccer (other)-$1
Tech+$0
Biggest hit
+$20
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
Toughest beat
-$5
Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$3522h ago
  • Bought No · GTA 6 launch postponed again?$2322h ago
  • Bought No · GTA 6 launch postponed again?$91d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$561d ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$101d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$151d ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$131d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$671d ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$161d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$501d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$501d ago