← Whale Watch

sd2333

Predicting since Aug 2024129 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.9K on Tech markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $906 riding on Bird flu pandemic in 2024?.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$18963¢100¢+$111
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?EconomyYes$51717¢8.0¢-$269
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?EconomyYes$31912¢7.1¢-$128
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?TechYesResolved$435.3¢0.0¢-$43
Iran military response by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$686.8¢0.0¢-$68
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?PoliticsNoResolved$23221¢0.0¢-$232
Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsYesResolved$480.9¢0.0¢-$48
Will Trump say "Hitler" on The Joe Rogan Experience?MentionsYesResolved$4753¢0.0¢-$47
Mehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?PoliticsNoResolved$1113.6¢0.0¢-$111
Will 'Wicked' gross between $125-135m opening weekend?CultureYesResolved$10535¢0.0¢-$105
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?PoliticsNoResolved$55624¢0.0¢-$556
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?PoliticsYesResolved$5959¢0.0¢-$59
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?TechYesResolved$1103.8¢0.0¢-$110
Will Trump nominate John Paulson for Treasury Secretary?PoliticsYesResolved$6012¢0.0¢-$60
Will the Browns draft Cameron Ward?NFLYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2903.6¢0.0¢-$290
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?PoliticsNoResolved$4114¢0.0¢-$41
Trudeau out in 2024?PoliticsYesResolved$27850¢0.0¢-$278
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?PoliticsYesResolved$281.5¢0.0¢-$28
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$8517¢0.0¢-$85
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?TechYesResolved$434.3¢0.0¢-$43
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$969.6¢0.0¢-$96
Will Trump nominate Robert Lighthizer for Treasury Secretary?PoliticsYesResolved$112.1¢0.0¢-$11
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in August?EconomyYesResolved$5492.0¢0.0¢-$549
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$868.6¢0.0¢-$86
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $135m opening weekend?CultureYesResolved$14919¢0.0¢-$149
Weed rescheduled by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$18439¢0.0¢-$184
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?PoliticsYesResolved$361.8¢0.0¢-$36
Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?PoliticsYesResolved$1363.5¢0.0¢-$136
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$30877¢0.0¢-$308
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$270.9¢0.0¢-$27
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$30031¢0.0¢-$300
Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2010.0¢0.0¢-$20
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$215.2¢0.0¢-$21
Will Israel strike Iran on Tuesday?PoliticsYesResolved$225.9¢0.0¢-$22
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?PoliticsYesResolved$2770.8¢0.0¢-$277
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1699.9¢0.0¢-$169
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$29839¢0.0¢-$298
Will Trump nominate Jay Clayton for Treasury Secretary?PoliticsYesResolved$1282.6¢0.0¢-$128
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$509.9¢0.0¢-$50
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?PoliticsYesResolved$189.6¢0.0¢-$18
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross between $24m and $31m opening weekend?CultureYesResolved$24428¢0.0¢-$244
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$46415¢0.0¢-$464
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?PoliticsYesResolved$80034¢0.0¢-$800
U.S. military action against Iran by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5003.1¢0.0¢-$500
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?PoliticsYesResolved$161.6¢0.0¢-$16
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?PoliticsYesResolved$13115¢0.0¢-$131
Hezbollah enters Israel in August?PoliticsYesResolved$896.7¢0.0¢-$89
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?PoliticsNoResolved$255.0¢0.0¢-$25
Israel military action against Iran in August?PoliticsYesResolved$1185.9¢0.0¢-$118
Weed rescheduled in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$6539.2¢0.0¢-$653
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?TechYesResolved$9066.8¢0.0¢-$906
New pandemic in 2025?TechYesResolved$5849.7¢0.0¢-$584
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$621¢0.0¢-$6
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?PoliticsYesResolved$878.7¢0.0¢-$87
Will the Browns make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?NFLYesResolved$90.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump nominate Marc Rowan for Treasury Secretary?PoliticsYesResolved$2117¢0.0¢-$21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$541.4¢0.0¢-$54
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?PoliticsYesResolved$10818¢0.0¢-$108
New pandemic before July?TechYesResolved$89713¢0.0¢-$897
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?PoliticsYesResolved$1669.8¢0.0¢-$166
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$937.5¢0.0¢-$93
Pete Hegseth nomination withdrawn by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$39039¢0.0¢-$390
U.S. military action against Iran before November?PoliticsYesResolved$13421¢0.0¢-$134
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$180.3¢0.0¢-$18
Will Todd Blanche be Trump's Attorney General?PoliticsYesResolved$35035¢0.0¢-$350

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$2.9K
Politics+$1.1K
Crypto-$792
Economy-$601
Culture-$436
Mentions+$116
NFL+$49
Biggest hit
+$2.0K
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
Toughest beat
-$966
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1893mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?$5175mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?$3195mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$966mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$546mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Weed rescheduled by March 31?$3487mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Weed rescheduled by March 31?$37mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Weed rescheduled by March 31?$37mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$3007mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?$67mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1647mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$277mo ago