 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | Yes | $7 | 0.2¢ | 0.5¢ | +$10 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 3.3¢ | 2.4¢ | -$2 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.7¢ | 1.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump send the national guard to San Francisco?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US forces in Venezuela by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $436 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$436 |
 Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $151 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$151 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Wednesday 12 PM ET?Politics | NoResolved | $17 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 40,000 and 50,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump say "Pizza" during September?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 Polish strike on Belarus by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $68 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?Politics | NoResolved | $158 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$158 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
 North Korea missile launch by October 15?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out by September 20?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $30 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 RFK Jr. Out by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?Politics | YesResolved | $148 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$148 |
 US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Kash Patel out by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump send the national guard to Boston?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $152 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during announcement today?Mentions | YesResolved | $14 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?Politics | YesResolved | $162 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$162 |
 Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Monday press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $165 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$165 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Politics | NoResolved | $24 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will Trump send the national guard to New York City?Politics | YesResolved | $46 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?Politics | YesResolved | $139 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$139 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 5% or more?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump say "Antifa" this week? (September 22-28)Mentions | YesResolved | $61 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $105 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
 Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $250 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $177 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$177 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $66 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
 Will Trump say "Globalist" or "Globalism" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Mentions | NoResolved | $31 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump say "Healthcare" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?Politics | YesResolved | $185 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$185 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | YesResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$11d ago