← Whale Watch

Marclacasse1

Predicting since Feb 2025449 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $590 riding on Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$59048¢44¢-$55
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$52149¢44¢-$58
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$6626¢24¢-$6
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$6531¢22¢-$18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$147.1¢16¢+$17
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2040¢42¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1541¢44¢+$1
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2038¢26¢-$6
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1520¢18¢-$2
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1012¢12¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$1022¢18¢-$2
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1523¢12¢-$7
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$421¢34¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$414¢21¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$541¢42¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?PoliticsYes$419¢23¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1017¢7.6¢-$6
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$414¢15¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?PoliticsYes$529¢25¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-22 House seat?PoliticsYes$513¢11¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$439¢37¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat?PoliticsYes$417¢16¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$416¢14¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$438¢34¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?PoliticsYes$524¢15¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?PoliticsYes$435¢14¢-$2
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$31.0¢0.4¢-$2
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
Will Martin St Louis win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?NHLYesResolved$72.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1518¢0.0¢-$15
Will Lane Hutson win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$31.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$519¢0.0¢-$5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2551¢0.0¢-$25
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$108.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1344¢0.0¢-$13
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$429¢0.0¢-$4
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$632¢0.0¢-$6
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$54.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$34.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Will Ryan Warsofsky win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?NHLYesResolved$58.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2034¢0.0¢-$20
Will Strasbourg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Soccer (other)YesResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$616¢0.0¢-$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$849
NHL+$222
Culture-$56
Economy-$53
Finance+$46
World Cup+$27
Mentions-$20
NFL-$19
College Football-$14
Other sports-$13
Crypto-$12
Champions League+$12
Biggest hit
+$170
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Toughest beat
-$134
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$117d ago
  • Sold Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$197d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$110d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7910d ago