E.S.Faerch

Predicting since Apr 202616 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$100	69¢	100¢	+$45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$110	98¢	100¢	+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics	NoResolved	$40	62¢	100¢	+$25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$25	96¢	100¢	+$1
Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?Mentions	YesResolved	$10	60¢	100¢	+$7
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics	No	$10	82¢	95¢	+$2
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$10	82¢	95¢	+$2
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Politics	Yes	$10	13¢	11¢	-$2
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	18¢	12¢	-$4
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?Mentions	YesResolved	$5	76¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 16?Weather	YesResolved	$237	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$237
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on April 22?Weather	NoResolved	$19	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$20
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	81¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?Mentions	YesResolved	$5	73¢	0.0¢	-$5

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather-$256

Politics+$153

Mentions-$3

Biggest hit

+$106

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Bought No · Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$103mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?$103mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1103mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$203mo ago
Cashed out No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$1563mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$503mo ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on April 22?$203mo ago
Sold No · US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$613mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 16?$2313mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 16?$193mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$253mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?$103mo ago