← Whale Watch

reasoningTokens

Predicting since Aug 202590 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $2.1K riding on Best AI model on June 13?.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechNo$77019¢37¢+$690
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?TechNo$80022¢28¢+$219
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?PoliticsYes$2020¢3.5¢-$17
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureYes$1017¢5.5¢-$7
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?TechNoResolved$28255¢0.0¢-$282
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$2442¢0.0¢-$24
Obama divorce in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$13.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$1005.6¢0.0¢-$100
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?TechYesResolved$1052¢0.0¢-$10
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?PoliticsYesResolved$10017¢0.0¢-$100
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10066¢0.0¢-$100
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$34.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?TechNoResolved$968.3¢0.0¢-$96
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$2000.1¢0.0¢-$200
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?TechYesResolved$1563¢0.0¢-$15
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$2032¢0.0¢-$20
Will Outdoor Boys post another video by October 31?CultureYesResolved$215.4¢0.0¢-$21
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? CultureYesResolved$104.2¢0.0¢-$10
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?TechNoResolved$5031¢0.0¢-$50
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$2008.0¢0.0¢-$200
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?TechYesResolved$2.1K63¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?MentionsYesResolved$10093¢0.0¢-$100
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Grokipedia released by October 31?TechNoResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$206.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$150.1¢0.0¢-$15
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$60052¢0.0¢-$600
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?TechYesResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$533¢0.0¢-$5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?TechYesResolved$10014¢0.0¢-$100
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?TechYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?PoliticsYesResolved$8036¢0.0¢-$80
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?TechYesResolved$50044¢0.0¢-$500
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$20016¢0.0¢-$200
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?TechYesResolved$2023¢0.0¢-$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?World CupYesResolved$60.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2015¢0.0¢-$20
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?TechYesResolved$501.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$2334¢0.0¢-$23
Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?MentionsYesResolved$10076¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$534
Mentions-$117
Culture-$46
Boxing+$44
World Cup-$41
Tech-$40
Formula 1-$39
Crypto+$2
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$813
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$1024d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$524d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?$10326d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?$10326d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$2126d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$14726d ago
  • Bought Over · Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$2027d ago
  • Bought Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$2527d ago
  • Bought Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals AND Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$2527d ago
  • Bought Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals AND Brazil to score first vs. Japan? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Brazil leading at halftime?$2527d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$46427d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$2811mo ago