reasoningTokens

Predicting since Aug 202590 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $2.1K riding on Best AI model on June 13?.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech	No	$770	19¢	78¢	+$2.3K
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Politics	Yes	$20	20¢	3.6¢	-$16
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Culture	Yes	$10	17¢	2.9¢	-$8
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Tech	NoResolved	$282	55¢	0.0¢	-$282
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$24	42¢	0.0¢	-$24
Obama divorce in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$100	5.6¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$10	52¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics	YesResolved	$100	17¢	0.0¢	-$100
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$100	66¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$353	30¢	0.0¢	-$353
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Politics	NoResolved	$200	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$200
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$15	63¢	0.0¢	-$15
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersWorld Cup	OverResolved	$20	32¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Outdoor Boys post another video by October 31?Culture	YesResolved	$21	5.4¢	0.0¢	-$21
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? Culture	YesResolved	$10	4.2¢	0.0¢	-$10
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$50	31¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Tech	NoResolved	$800	22¢	0.0¢	-$800
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$200	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$200
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$2.1K	63¢	0.0¢	-$2.1K
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Mentions	YesResolved	$100	93¢	0.0¢	-$100
Maduro out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$20	20¢	0.0¢	-$20
Grokipedia released by October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$5	21¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$20	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?World Cup	YesResolved	$15	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$600	52¢	0.0¢	-$600
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$5	45¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech	YesResolved	$5	33¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$100	14¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Tech	YesResolved	$5	15¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Politics	YesResolved	$80	36¢	0.0¢	-$80
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$500	44¢	0.0¢	-$500
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$200	16¢	0.0¢	-$200
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$20	23¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?World Cup	YesResolved	$6	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$20	15¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$50	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1	YesResolved	$23	34¢	0.0¢	-$23
Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Mentions	YesResolved	$100	76¢	0.0¢	-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$534

Tech+$325

Mentions-$117

Culture-$48

Boxing+$44

World Cup-$41

Formula 1-$39

Crypto+$2

Biggest hit

+$1.6K

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$813

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$102mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$52mo ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?$1032mo ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?$1032mo ago
Sold Yes · Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$212mo ago
Sold Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1472mo ago
Bought Over · Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$202mo ago
Bought Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$252mo ago
Bought Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals AND Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$252mo ago
Bought Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals AND Brazil to score first vs. Japan? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Brazil leading at halftime?$252mo ago
Cashed out No · Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$4642mo ago
Bought Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$2812mo ago