← Whale Watch

crystalballxyz

Predicting since Dec 2025170 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $56.5B?FinanceNo$33659¢26¢-$188
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$5860¢95¢+$34
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7443¢53¢+$17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 26?WeatherNo$3754¢100¢+$32
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$4156¢73¢+$12
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?EconomyNo$3159¢93¢+$18
Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?FinanceNo$4560¢64¢+$3
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?PoliticsNo$2761¢62¢+$0
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <87.5%?FinanceNo$2442¢46¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?WeatherNoResolved$1156¢100¢+$8
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$325.8¢3.4¢-$14
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?CultureNo$3336¢19¢-$16
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?CultureNo$2756¢35¢-$10
Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?FinanceNo$1260¢64¢+$1
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$960¢73¢+$2
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsNo$1551¢33¢-$5
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureNo$4746¢8.0¢-$39
Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?FinanceNo$960¢51¢-$1
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?EconomyNo$663¢72¢+$1
Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 30%-34%?FinanceNo$654¢65¢+$1
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$641¢42¢+$0
Will James Gunn appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?CultureNo$352¢94¢+$3
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?TechNoResolved$119¢100¢+$4
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherYes$455¢81¢+$2
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherNo$944¢20¢-$5
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?PoliticsNo$343¢44¢+$0
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$341¢40¢-$0
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?PoliticsNo$353¢23¢-$2
Weed rescheduled by December 31?PoliticsYes$352¢23¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 8?WeatherNoResolved$3651¢0.0¢-$36
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?CultureNoResolved$2975¢0.0¢-$29
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?CultureYesResolved$4759¢0.0¢-$47
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$17.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Bomb" or "Bomber" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsYesResolved$1349¢0.0¢-$13
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?CultureYesResolved$2842¢0.0¢-$28
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1353¢0.0¢-$13
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?CultureNoResolved$2161¢0.0¢-$21
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?EconomyYesResolved$1149¢0.0¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 13?WeatherYesResolved$3042¢0.0¢-$30
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?TechNoResolved$1046¢0.0¢-$10
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?PoliticsNoResolved$4722¢0.0¢-$47
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$1139¢0.0¢-$11
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?CultureYesResolved$4527¢0.0¢-$45
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?PoliticsNoResolved$335¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 8?WeatherYesResolved$1676¢0.0¢-$16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?WeatherNoResolved$349¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$348¢0.0¢-$3
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$361¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$2743¢0.0¢-$27
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 2?WeatherNoResolved$3849¢0.0¢-$38
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1042¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?WeatherYesResolved$3744¢0.0¢-$37
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?FinanceNoResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$651¢0.0¢-$6
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1384¢0.0¢-$13
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?EconomyYesResolved$2251¢0.0¢-$22
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 20?WeatherNoResolved$4859¢0.0¢-$48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?WeatherNoResolved$2137¢0.0¢-$21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?WeatherNoResolved$2655¢0.0¢-$26
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?WeatherNoResolved$2756¢0.0¢-$27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 10?WeatherYesResolved$2128¢0.0¢-$21
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?PoliticsNoResolved$4360¢0.0¢-$43
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?PoliticsYesResolved$1016¢0.0¢-$10
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?PoliticsNoResolved$754¢0.0¢-$7
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?TechNoResolved$6262¢0.0¢-$62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$345¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?WeatherNoResolved$6752¢0.0¢-$67
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1248¢0.0¢-$12
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?TechYesResolved$935¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump post on Truth Social 20+ times on July 4?PoliticsYesResolved$140¢0.0¢-$1
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$949¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?WeatherNoResolved$2748¢0.0¢-$27
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?CultureNoResolved$2559¢0.0¢-$25
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$360¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$757¢0.0¢-$7
Will Abraham Enriquez be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?PoliticsYesResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupNoResolved$749¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?WeatherNoResolved$7052¢0.0¢-$70
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1127¢0.0¢-$11
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?TechYesResolved$544¢0.0¢-$5
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?PoliticsYesResolved$1328¢0.0¢-$13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8?WeatherYesResolved$1455¢0.0¢-$14
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsNoResolved$1854¢0.0¢-$18
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5752¢0.0¢-$57
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupNoResolved$7752¢0.0¢-$77
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?PoliticsNoResolved$4153¢0.0¢-$41
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 4%+?FinanceNoResolved$5356¢0.0¢-$53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 26?WeatherYesResolved$348¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 9?WeatherNoResolved$12655¢0.0¢-$126
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?WeatherNoResolved$4052¢0.0¢-$40
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?PoliticsYesResolved$539¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$308
Tech+$213
Weather-$115
Culture-$87
World Cup-$83
Politics+$55
Mentions-$31
Crypto-$23
Other sports+$15
eSports+$13
Economy-$8
Biggest hit
+$211
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Toughest beat
-$90
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$116m ago
  • Bought No · Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?$13h ago
  • Bought No · Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?$35h ago
  • Bought No · Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?$15h ago
  • Bought No · Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?$37h ago
  • Bought No · Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?$223h ago
  • Bought No · Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$101d ago
  • Bought No · Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$31d ago
  • Bought No · Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$71d ago
  • Sold No · Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold No · Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$01d ago
  • Bought No · Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$31d ago