← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Mar 2026244 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $96K on World Cup markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $23K riding on UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card).

Biggest hit: +$94K on Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.2K91¢73¢-$615
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.8K59¢69¢+$335
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.8K86¢99¢+$271
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$43248¢85¢+$341
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.7K29¢13¢-$955
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? eSportsNo$12532¢96¢+$248
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$22418¢9.3¢-$106
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$1.6K12¢0.7¢-$1.5K
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$7178¢81¢+$3
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$53514¢0.6¢-$512
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$2116.0¢0.5¢-$192
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1.9K9.8¢0.1¢-$1.8K
Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026?PoliticsNo$976¢77¢+$0
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?CultureYes$528¢43¢+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$32538¢0.7¢-$319
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$70.5¢0.2¢-$4
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$20049¢0.4¢-$199
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$29326¢0.0¢-$293
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?TechNoResolved$31233¢0.0¢-$312
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K16¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$929.5¢0.0¢-$92
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.8K3.4¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7769.3¢0.0¢-$776
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3829.2¢0.0¢-$382
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$35012¢0.0¢-$350
Will Donald Trump dance on May 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$35864¢0.0¢-$358
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$146.8¢0.0¢-$14
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$78132¢0.0¢-$781
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$23K33¢0.0¢-$23K
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$8464¢0.0¢-$84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7209.0¢0.0¢-$720
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$4939¢0.0¢-$49
Will Trump say "Family" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia?MentionsNoResolved$8853¢0.0¢-$88
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$5.1K8.8¢0.0¢-$5.1K
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?CultureNoResolved$12510¢0.0¢-$125
Will Trump say "President Xi" during Pennsylvania events?MentionsNoResolved$10050¢0.0¢-$100
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$8.5K55¢0.0¢-$8.5K
Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsNoResolved$21610¢0.0¢-$216
Will Trump say "Endorsement" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?MentionsNoResolved$629¢0.0¢-$6
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$455.5¢0.0¢-$45
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$29021¢0.0¢-$290
Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?MentionsNoResolved$5428¢0.0¢-$54
Will Trump say "Waiter" or "Waitress" at The Villages on May 1?MentionsYesResolved$7649¢0.0¢-$76
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?MentionsYesResolved$2.3K17¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Speech to the Nation?MentionsNoResolved$13766¢0.0¢-$137
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$203.0¢0.0¢-$20
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAIlia TopuriaResolved$2.7K79¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2422¢0.0¢-$24
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K18¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5521¢0.0¢-$55
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$3238¢0.0¢-$32
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$78382¢0.0¢-$783
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$71125¢0.0¢-$711
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsYesResolved$2.2K37¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$33523¢0.0¢-$335
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$509.5¢0.0¢-$50
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$9639.5¢0.0¢-$963
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3.8K14¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$233.6¢0.0¢-$23
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Brazilian president?MentionsYesResolved$2811¢0.0¢-$28
Will Trump say "Melania" during remarks in Georgia?MentionsYesResolved$10718¢0.0¢-$107
Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?CultureNoResolved$285.1¢0.0¢-$28
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$4452¢0.0¢-$44
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$17111¢0.0¢-$171
Will Trump say "Landslide" during remarks in Georgia?MentionsNoResolved$4148¢0.0¢-$41
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2811¢0.0¢-$28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?PoliticsYesResolved$1706.7¢0.0¢-$170
Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?MentionsNoResolved$14141¢0.0¢-$141
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?NBANoResolved$49811¢0.0¢-$498
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$27850¢0.0¢-$278
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4122¢0.0¢-$41
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$38266¢0.0¢-$382
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2.3K13¢0.0¢-$2.3K
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$24720¢0.0¢-$247
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?PoliticsYesResolved$7.4K33¢0.0¢-$7.4K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$66360¢0.0¢-$663
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during events with Brazilian president?MentionsYesResolved$321¢0.0¢-$3
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$916¢0.0¢-$9
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K16¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$2.0K32¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$2968.9¢0.0¢-$296
Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsYesResolved$11726¢0.0¢-$117
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?PoliticsYesResolved$41622¢0.0¢-$416
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$3546¢0.0¢-$35
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia?MentionsYesResolved$146.2¢0.0¢-$14
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$73036¢0.0¢-$730

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup+$96K
Politics+$55K
UFC / MMA-$26K
eSports+$19K
Crypto+$6.7K
Tech-$2.9K
Mentions+$2.4K
NBA-$498
Culture-$115
Finance-$111
NHL+$41
Other sports+$7
Biggest hit
+$94K
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$591d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$31d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$11d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$9671d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$1341d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?$8771d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$571d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$1021d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$01d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$01d ago