← Whale Watch

Hot-Skull

Predicting since Apr 2026810 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.6K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $2.4K riding on Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?.

Biggest hit: +$2.6K on Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?TechYes$2.4K86¢73¢-$365
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K76¢96¢+$406
Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsYes$60699¢97¢-$9
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?TechNo$51569¢77¢+$59
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?FinanceNo$50285¢92¢+$44
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$479100¢100¢+$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $82.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$22951¢98¢+$214
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsYes$33399¢100¢+$2
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by July 31?FinanceNo$28497¢97¢+$1
Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsNo$24987¢97¢+$28
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$22753¢62¢+$37
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.8% and 2.0%?EconomyNo$16991¢97¢+$13
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?PoliticsNo$15377¢91¢+$26
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?CultureYes$16815¢16¢+$8
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold PropositionPoliticsNo$11243¢67¢+$62
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$12749¢67¢+$46
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechNo$15965¢70¢+$12
Will Tim Wilkins be the FL-11 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$17593¢90¢-$5
Meta (META) Q2 average price per ad growth 9%-12%?FinanceNo$17667¢62¢-$15
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsNo$14683¢87¢+$7
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$151100¢100¢-$1
Will Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?CultureNo$14980¢75¢-$10
Will Ryan Reynolds appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?CultureNo$7656¢95¢+$52
Will James Gunn appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?CultureNo$10277¢96¢+$24
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?PoliticsNo$12388¢87¢-$2
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$20399¢56¢-$89
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$12125¢24¢-$9
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$11833¢30¢-$9
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$10218¢19¢+$5
Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$11028¢26¢-$9
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$8787¢91¢+$4
Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?PoliticsYes$589.4¢14¢+$28
Will Arnaldinho Borgo win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?PoliticsNo$7791¢96¢+$5
Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?CultureNo$7590¢92¢+$2
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?WeatherNo$7392¢96¢+$3
Will Tom Holland appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?CultureNo$7250¢52¢+$3
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6060¢74¢+$14
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?FinanceNo$8095¢78¢-$15
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?TechNo$259.8¢26¢+$41
Will Lateefah Simon win the CA-12 House seat?PoliticsYes$5992¢94¢+$1
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $85B by July 31?FinanceNo$5176¢81¢+$4
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?CryptoNo$7856¢38¢-$26
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$4888¢88¢-$0
Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?PoliticsYes$4545¢48¢+$3
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$68100¢67¢-$23
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 225M by August 31?PoliticsNo$4497¢98¢+$0
Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 19%-22%?FinanceNo$4381¢84¢+$1
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?PoliticsYes$6165¢46¢-$18
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$275.8¢9.0¢+$15
Will Lucasfilm announce a new project at SDCC 2026?CultureYes$5686¢60¢-$18
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$38100¢100¢-$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?FinanceNo$3280¢81¢+$0
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?EconomyYes$1316¢38¢+$18
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2695¢97¢+$0
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by July 31?FinanceNo$2598¢96¢-$0
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.5%?EconomyNo$2495¢99¢+$1
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$3042¢34¢-$6
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.0%?EconomyNo$2397¢96¢-$0
Will Oliver Junk win the next Hannover Region presidential election?PoliticsYes$2626¢23¢-$3
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?TechNo$153.7¢5.7¢+$8
Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$2088¢98¢+$2
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by July 31?FinanceYes$1116¢30¢+$10
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $60B by December 31?FinanceNo$1990¢96¢+$1
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$502.4¢0.9¢-$30
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$52.0¢7.1¢+$14
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$3618¢9.3¢-$17
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsNo$2323¢19¢-$5
Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps <13%?FinanceYes$1716¢16¢+$1
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$93.0¢5.5¢+$8
Will "ESLCS" be the #2 most watched Twitch streamer in July?TechNo$1697¢97¢+$0
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$1315¢18¢+$2
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$152.0¢2.1¢+$1
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsNo$1689¢86¢-$1
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$162.4¢2.1¢-$2
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1279¢93¢+$2
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$14100¢96¢-$1
Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$91.8¢2.5¢+$4
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$100.4¢0.4¢+$1
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?TechAnduril$1015¢17¢+$1
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$2516¢6.7¢-$14
Will Nicolas Lehrke win the next Hannover Region presidential election?PoliticsYes$1616¢11¢-$6
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$123.5¢3.0¢-$1
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsYes$845¢56¢+$2
Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$1098¢97¢-$0
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$30.8¢2.4¢+$6
Will Sinja Münzberg win the next Hannover Region presidential election?PoliticsYes$1515¢9.5¢-$6
Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?eSportsYes$712¢14¢+$1
Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$60.7¢1.1¢+$3
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$34.0¢11¢+$5
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%?PoliticsNo$895¢98¢+$0
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$342.0¢0.4¢-$26
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$71.6¢1.8¢+$1
Will Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?CultureYes$1550¢26¢-$7
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?TechNo$619¢25¢+$2
Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$789¢92¢+$0
Will Karim Bouamrane win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?PoliticsNo$794¢95¢+$0
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?TechYes$00.2¢7.0¢+$7
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes$1015¢10¢-$3
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?PoliticsYes$24.4¢13¢+$4
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsYes$1014¢9.3¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$3.6K
Tech+$3.0K
Other sports-$1.2K
Culture+$566
Soccer (other)+$513
Finance+$330
Economy+$156
Crypto+$48
World Cup-$47
Mentions-$34
Champions League+$27
Serie A+$20
Biggest hit
+$2.6K
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Toughest beat
-$852
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Will Jason Koon Cash the WSOP Main Event 2026?$2012m ago
  • Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?$7918m ago
  • Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?$13119m ago
  • Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?$47521m ago
  • Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?$327m ago
  • Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?$328m ago
  • Bought No · Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?$1033m ago
  • Bought No · Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?$871h ago
  • Bought No · Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?$681h ago
  • Bought No · Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?$151h ago
  • Bought No · Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?$641h ago
  • Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?$41h ago