← Whale Watch

l3t0

Predicting since Nov 2025109 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $9.6K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $6.0K riding on Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?.

Biggest hit: +$3.4K on Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$5.9K75¢88¢+$977
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6.0K78¢88¢+$765
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$4.9K54¢44¢-$977
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.5K54¢56¢+$56
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.1K21¢11¢-$534
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureNo$24691¢95¢+$9
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?PoliticsYes$58117¢3.9¢-$451
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$328.0¢31¢+$93
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$19230¢12¢-$116
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$4120¢27¢+$12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$248.0¢14¢+$17
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$205.0¢5.1¢+$1
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$101.3¢2.1¢+$6
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$20.9¢5.9¢+$11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1010.0¢8.5¢-$2
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$112.3¢1.1¢-$6
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$71.8¢1.1¢-$3
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$51.0¢0.5¢-$2
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$748.4¢0.0¢-$74
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$201.8¢0.0¢-$20
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$52352¢0.0¢-$523
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$201.7¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$9.6K
Tech+$2.9K
Finance+$1.2K
NFL-$281
Economy+$167
World Cup-$60
eSports+$23
Culture+$2
Biggest hit
+$3.4K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Toughest beat
-$3.6K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$9.5K4d ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$7.0K17d ago
  • Sold No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.8K17d ago