← Whale Watch

degenpeterturchin2025

Predicting since Aug 2025281 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$214.9¢16¢+$46
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$8011¢8.5¢-$17
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$1012¢64¢+$43
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$462.5¢2.4¢-$3
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1026¢93¢+$26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$264.5¢5.1¢+$3
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$1036¢81¢+$13
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$171.7¢2.1¢+$5
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$2066¢65¢-$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$204.1¢3.8¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1023¢27¢+$2
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$2026¢14¢-$9
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$102.6¢0.9¢-$6
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$511¢4.4¢-$3
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$21.7¢1.1¢-$1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1516¢0.0¢-$15
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 2% and 3%?EconomyYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1511¢0.0¢-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?CryptoYesResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$21.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?PoliticsYesResolved$73.8¢0.0¢-$7
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$1917¢0.0¢-$19
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?MLBYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1337¢0.0¢-$13
Will "LA CANCIÓN" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$22.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?PoliticsYesResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$108.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$30.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 26?PoliticsYesResolved$417¢0.0¢-$4
Will "I Like It" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump visit China by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$3534¢0.0¢-$35
Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon EditionPoliticsNoResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?CryptoYesResolved$559¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$1028¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Neverita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$20.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?TechYesResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1025¢0.0¢-$10
Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?PoliticsYesResolved$84.7¢0.0¢-$8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2514¢0.0¢-$25
Will "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.4%?EconomyYesResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$65.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$72.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?CryptoYesResolved$2018¢0.0¢-$20
Will "Efecto" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$41.6¢0.0¢-$4
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$55.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$198.0¢0.0¢-$19
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?EconomyYesResolved$820¢0.0¢-$8
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$63.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$60.7¢0.0¢-$6
Solana Up or Down - August 25, 4PM ETCryptoUpResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2914¢0.0¢-$29
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$64.5¢0.0¢-$6
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?PoliticsNoResolved$23.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?CryptoYesResolved$54.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?CultureYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1512¢0.0¢-$15
Will "Safaera" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$172.1¢0.0¢-$17
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 16 above $90?FinanceNoResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 24?CryptoNoResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?FinanceYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6AM ETCryptoUpResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$161.6¢0.0¢-$16
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$1310.0¢0.0¢-$13
Will "Ojitos Lindos" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will "PERRO NEGRO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$116.1¢0.0¢-$11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 24?CryptoYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$318¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$159.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?PoliticsYesResolved$427¢0.0¢-$4
Will Bernie Sanders say "Corruption" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?MentionsYesResolved$731¢0.0¢-$7
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$25.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?PoliticsYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?PoliticsYesResolved$2420¢0.0¢-$24
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?PoliticsYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?MentionsNoResolved$2322¢0.0¢-$23
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?NBANoResolved$2513¢0.0¢-$25
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Other sportsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$133.4¢0.0¢-$13
Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on February 19?FinanceYesResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5
Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$81.3¢0.0¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Other+$144
Economy-$92
NFL-$82
Mentions-$41
Crypto+$39
Politics-$21
Olympics-$18
Culture+$18
NBA-$13
MLB-$11
World Cup-$8
Finance+$6
Biggest hit
+$154
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?
Toughest beat
-$39
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5311d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1011d ago
  • Sold No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1011d ago
  • Bought Switzerland · Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$214d ago