0xd19c56aA7489150ae359e2d62A4420F1c190E07E-1775359793074

Predicting since Apr 2026140 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech	Yes	$4	75¢	82¢	+$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics	Yes	$2	40¢	61¢	+$1
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics	No	$2	63¢	83¢	+$1
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics	No	$2	64¢	79¢	+$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech	No	$2	61¢	77¢	+$0
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics	Yes	$2	50¢	57¢	+$0
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics	Yes	$2	40¢	43¢	+$0
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?Politics	Yes	$2	63¢	71¢	+$0
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?Politics	Yes	$2	39¢	38¢	-$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics	No	$1	67¢	95¢	+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	49¢	47¢	-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics	No	$2	40¢	38¢	-$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics	No	$2	82¢	94¢	+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics	No	$1	67¢	93¢	+$1
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech	No	$2	19¢	19¢	-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics	No	$2	31¢	31¢	-$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics	No	$2	47¢	45¢	-$0
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics	No	$2	59¢	59¢	+$0
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 9%?Politics	Yes	$2	14¢	13¢	-$0
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?Politics	No	$2	85¢	83¢	-$0
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?Politics	No	$2	78¢	81¢	+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$2	77¢	81¢	+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech	No	$2	78¢	80¢	+$0
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech	Yes	$2	78¢	78¢	-$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy	Yes	$2	77¢	78¢	+$0
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?Mentions	Yes	$1	73¢	75¢	+$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics	Yes	$1	70¢	74¢	+$0
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics	Yes	$1	73¢	74¢	+$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics	No	$2	52¢	48¢	-$0
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech	No	$1	73¢	67¢	-$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics	No	$1	72¢	57¢	-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather-$9

Tech+$4

Politics-$2

Mentions+$1

World Cup-$1

Culture-$0

Economy+$0

Biggest hit

+$7

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?

Toughest beat

-$8

Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Recent moves

Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$23h ago
Bought No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$23h ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$23h ago
Bought Yes · Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$23h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$23h ago
Sold No · Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?$110h ago
Bought No · Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$215h ago
Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$215h ago
Bought Yes · Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?$215h ago
Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$215h ago
Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$116h ago
Sold No · Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$11d ago