ponygal

Predicting since May 202557 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.3K on Weather markets since May 2025.

Biggest hit: +$1.8K on Megaquake before August?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$5
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$89	16¢	0.0¢	-$89
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?Tech	YesResolved	$10	3.2¢	0.0¢	-$10
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionWeather	NoResolved	$10	14¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Megaquake by September 30?Weather	YesResolved	$157	5.1¢	0.0¢	-$157
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$45	6.4¢	0.0¢	-$45
Megaquake by November 30?Weather	YesResolved	$68	12¢	0.0¢	-$68
Megaquake by October 31?Weather	YesResolved	$121	5.3¢	0.0¢	-$121
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$109	19¢	0.0¢	-$109
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$35	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$35
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Mistral AI have the best AI model on October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$3
Trump out as President by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$20	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Netanyahu out by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$122	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$122
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$3
Megaquake by December 31?Weather	YesResolved	$80	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$80
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?Politics	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather+$1.3K

Politics-$215

Tech-$23

Culture-$9

Economy-$2

Crypto-$1

Biggest hit

+$1.8K

Megaquake before August?

Toughest beat

-$45

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Trump out as President by April 30?$205mo ago
Sold Yes · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$8115mo ago
Cashed out No · Megaquake by March 31?$05mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?$05mo ago
Cashed out No · US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$05mo ago
Cashed out No · Iran Nuke in 2025?$05mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?$05mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$05mo ago
Cashed out No · Justin Bieber rehab in 2025?$05mo ago
Cashed out No · Israel strikes Iran by October 31?$05mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$05mo ago
Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$5375mo ago