Shad2y

Predicting since Feb 2026116 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.2K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $2.0K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$1.1K	43¢	50¢	+$165
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$955	59¢	47¢	-$207
Blue wave in 2026?Politics	Yes	$137	81¢	79¢	-$3
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy	Yes	$133	71¢	71¢	-$1
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance	No	$35	88¢	93¢	+$2
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics	No	$9	35¢	35¢	-$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto	Yes	$12	28¢	14¢	-$6
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$63	8.5¢	0.0¢	-$63
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$13	63¢	0.0¢	-$13
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Politics	NoResolved	$62	20¢	0.0¢	-$62
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	84¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$364	11¢	0.0¢	-$364
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics	NoResolved	$40	51¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1.2K	81¢	0.0¢	-$1.2K
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Politics	YesResolved	$228	22¢	0.0¢	-$228
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics	NoResolved	$2	36¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics	YesResolved	$140	72¢	0.0¢	-$140
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics	NoResolved	$9	95¢	0.0¢	-$9
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$89	51¢	0.0¢	-$89

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$5.2K

Finance+$676

Tech-$365

Other-$145

Culture+$134

World Cup+$43

Crypto-$6

Economy-$1

La Liga+$0

Biggest hit

+$674

Chirayu Rana sued?

Toughest beat

-$2.3K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$012h ago
Bought Yes · Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$211d ago
Bought Yes · Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$421d ago
Bought Yes · Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$91d ago
Sold Yes · Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?$82d ago
Sold Yes · Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?$12d ago
Sold Yes · Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?$92d ago
Bought Yes · Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?$182d ago
Sold No · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$187d ago
Sold No · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$187d ago
Sold No · Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?$67d ago
Bought No · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$377d ago