 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $185 | 58¢ | 84¢ | +$81 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $111 | 39¢ | 79¢ | +$115 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $169 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $122 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $57 | 54¢ | 84¢ | +$31 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $46 | 43¢ | 80¢ | +$40 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $25 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $24 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $22 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $12 | 46¢ | 79¢ | +$9 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8 | 31¢ | 80¢ | +$13 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 76¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $16 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Politics | No | $18 | 71¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $26 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$9 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $13 | 77¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $43 | 33¢ | 13¢ | -$27 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 20¢ | 38¢ | +$7 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $47 | 11¢ | 3.4¢ | -$32 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $9 | 50¢ | 79¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $10 | 70¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will Unity win 2% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $11 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $16 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | -$5 |
| Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?Politics | No | $8 | 72¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $8 | 40¢ | 51¢ | +$2 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Politics | No | $13 | 76¢ | 59¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $14 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $26 | 42¢ | 16¢ | -$16 |
 Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $66 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$57 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $7 | 1.7¢ | 2.1¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $24 | 56¢ | 21¢ | -$15 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $8 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $8 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?Politics | No | $8 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $8 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $8 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $8 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $61 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$53 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
| Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 99¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $8 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $8 | 66¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $8 | 58¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
 Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $7 | 86¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $14 | 47¢ | 20¢ | -$8 |
 Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 47¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $6 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $6 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Unity win 0.5-0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $4 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 26¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
| Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics | No | $3 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $17 | 32¢ | 6.5¢ | -$14 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 66¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $8 | 43¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8 | 68¢ | 22¢ | -$6 |
 Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $2 | 76¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $25 | 4.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$23 |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Politics | Yes | $1 | 27¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
| Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.6¢ | 4.8¢ | +$0 |
 Will Yashar win 26-27 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
 Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$8 |
 Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $1 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | NoResolved | $70 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | NoResolved | $8 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Sold Yes · Will RZP-Zehut win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?$030m ago