 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $149 | 54¢ | 64¢ | +$27 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $107 | 38¢ | 57¢ | +$55 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $114 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $64 | 66¢ | 85¢ | +$18 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $46 | 43¢ | 62¢ | +$20 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $68 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $35 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $48 | 59¢ | 42¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $14 | 0.9¢ | 2.0¢ | +$18 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $36 | 5.1¢ | 4.3¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $13 | 1.6¢ | 3.3¢ | +$14 |
 Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $66 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$39 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $25 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $61 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$37 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $58 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$35 |
 Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $22 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $12 | 9.5¢ | 17¢ | +$10 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $24 | 90¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $19 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $19 | 51¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $24 | 56¢ | 43¢ | -$6 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $16 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $13 | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8 | 31¢ | 59¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $15 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $24 | 14¢ | 8.2¢ | -$10 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $18 | 60¢ | 44¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $9 | 1.9¢ | 2.6¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $12 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 20¢ | 30¢ | +$4 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $8 | 40¢ | 52¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $10 | 70¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8 | 16¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 69¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $8 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $8 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Politics | Yes | $8 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $8 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?Politics | No | $8 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $8 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $8 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $17 | 32¢ | 14¢ | -$9 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $6 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $8 | 58¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
 Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $6 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $6 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8 | 68¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
 Will Nir Barkat win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.0¢ | 4.2¢ | +$3 |
 Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $4 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $2 | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
| Will 240-249 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $2 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$7 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.4¢ | 1.2¢ | -$0 |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $1 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will 230-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.6¢ | -$1 |
 Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $1 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | NoResolved | $8 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Economy | NoResolved | $4 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |