← Whale Watch

H.P.Lovecraft

Predicting since Feb 202561 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $45K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $10K across 2 Crypto markets.

Biggest hit: +$47K on Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?CryptoNoResolved$808.0¢100¢+$920
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$4268¢100¢+$19
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoNoResolved$7.0K14¢0.0¢-$7.0K
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 23-29?CryptoNoResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoYesResolved$3.2K3.5¢0.0¢-$3.2K
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$903.6¢0.0¢-$90
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$13.3¢0.0¢-$1
Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$5063.0¢0.0¢-$506
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?CryptoYesResolved$24471¢0.0¢-$244
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? CryptoNoResolved$17.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K15¢0.0¢-$1.6K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$21168¢0.0¢-$211
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $105K on July 11?CryptoYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$962.9¢0.0¢-$96
MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC September 2-8?CryptoNoResolved$941.1¢0.0¢-$94
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Red Sox vs. YankeesMLBRed SoxResolved$100043¢0.0¢-$1000

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$45K
Crypto-$28K
MLB-$1000
Biggest hit
+$47K
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$53K
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?$81mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?$161mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?$401mo ago
  • Bought No · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$31mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?$161mo ago
  • Sold Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7971mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$252mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$222mo ago
  • Bought No · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$702mo ago
  • Bought No · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1412mo ago
  • Bought Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$932mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$262mo ago