 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $522 | 11¢ | 1.5¢ | -$456 |
 Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $7 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $26 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $12 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Dan 'Jungleman' Cates win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $13 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $11 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Rob 'Boston Rob' Mariano win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?NFL | YesResolved | $150 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Will the Cleveland Browns win the AFC North?NFL | YesResolved | $25 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Jasper win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Scott Seiver win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Kristen Foxen win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $24 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 30–33%?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Will Justin Young win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Matt Berkey win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 24–27%?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $7 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Nacho Barbero win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Vinny Lingham win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $22 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $73 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
 Will Charlie Hook win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $55 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
 Will Johnnie Vibes win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $7 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $18 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Dylan Flashner win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Cary Katz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Kevin Pollak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ryan Feldman win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Andrew Robl win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Frank Brannan win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will Mike Matusow win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Alan Keating win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Jonathan Jaffe win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be less than 21%?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Maria Konnikova win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Marius Gierse win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $22 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
 Will Justin Gavri win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $113 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$113 |
 Will Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $48 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $107 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$107 |
 Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $311 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$311 |
 Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Matt Salsberg win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Kasey Lyn Mills win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Brazil God win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $834 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$834 |
 Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $168 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$168 |
Sold Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?$2.4K9d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.3K1mo ago