← Whale Watch

gkanor

Predicting since Jun 2025257 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsNo$10386¢87¢+$1
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8594¢95¢+$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$3956¢91¢+$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$4582¢85¢+$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsNo$2535¢50¢+$11
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$3583¢73¢-$4
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$352.3¢2.1¢-$4
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2591¢96¢+$1
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1369¢87¢+$3
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1084¢96¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1176¢76¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$1192¢93¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$1583¢57¢-$5
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNothing$985¢83¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$582¢100¢+$1
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$581¢92¢+$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$592¢98¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$585¢88¢+$0
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$598¢99¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$598¢99¢+$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$598¢99¢+$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$598¢98¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?PoliticsYes$590¢90¢-$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$518¢18¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$584¢74¢-$1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?PoliticsNo$489¢95¢+$0
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$278¢92¢+$0
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?PoliticsNo$282¢96¢+$0
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$289¢94¢+$0
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?PoliticsNoResolved$1088¢0.0¢-$10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4349¢0.0¢-$43
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1793¢0.0¢-$17
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$1087¢0.0¢-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$3086¢0.0¢-$30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$594¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1074¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7261¢0.0¢-$72
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?PoliticsNoResolved$169¢0.0¢-$1
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$154¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$469
World Cup-$15
Economy+$1
Biggest hit
+$165
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Toughest beat
-$24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$511m ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$512m ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$1112m ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?$2115m ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$88h ago
  • Bought No · Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$58h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$58h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$58h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$58h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$616h ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel closes its airspace by July 24?$221d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$51d ago