← Whale Watch

0xD324e20e3462d859a2913C5bfD162Ed7F9Aeb23c-1773152871743

Predicting since Mar 2026320 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $7.3K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $820 riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?.

Biggest hit: +$6.2K on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$82015¢16¢+$15
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$45068¢79¢+$72
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$24860¢76¢+$68
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$22535¢49¢+$90
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$21011¢14¢+$51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceNo$21047¢18¢-$133
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$9036¢31¢-$14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$16020¢8.5¢-$92
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$5056¢57¢+$1
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$4864¢63¢-$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5042¢38¢-$5
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsYes$404.0¢4.3¢+$3
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$4061¢55¢-$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$6436¢19¢-$31
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?PoliticsYes$2012¢14¢+$5
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$5325¢0.0¢-$53
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$32022¢0.0¢-$320
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$151.1¢0.0¢-$15
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$10014¢0.0¢-$100
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$7070¢0.0¢-$70
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1529.5¢0.0¢-$152

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$7.3K
Finance-$1.7K
World Cup-$170
Crypto-$150
Biggest hit
+$6.2K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$5.2K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$491h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1008h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$498h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$998h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$78h ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$78h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$11817h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$10817h ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$217h ago
  • Sold Yes · Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$917h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$381d ago
  • Sold No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$381d ago