← Whale Watch

sdiff123

Predicting since Nov 2020660 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $38K on Crypto markets since Nov 2020.

Right now: $24K across 2 Crypto markets.

Biggest hit: +$15K on Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$4.3K88¢88¢-$24
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.0K81¢81¢-$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K47¢42¢-$220
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYes$2.2K69¢52¢-$570
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$1.1K20¢22¢+$80
Will Squid launch a token by July 31, 2026?CryptoNo$90090¢97¢+$75
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$47785¢97¢+$69
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?CryptoNo$52498¢100¢+$9
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoNo$27775¢95¢+$74
Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$50050¢35¢-$150
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? CryptoNo$1812¢87¢+$112
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2006.6¢3.2¢-$102
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by July 31?CryptoNo$5498¢99¢+$0
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 50 by July 31?CryptoNo$3364¢88¢+$12
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$5943¢31¢-$17
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$2652¢48¢-$2
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$638¢69¢+$5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$194¢98¢+$0
Will DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Jazz Hampton win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2103.0¢0.0¢-$210
Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$41.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will Chartfu win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$2.5K31¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$40040¢0.0¢-$400
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$1.4K6.8¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Farokh win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoYesResolved$5.3K5.2¢0.0¢-$5.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2PM ETCryptoUpResolved$24650¢0.0¢-$246
Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?TechYesResolved$90.4¢0.0¢-$9
Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$871.5¢0.0¢-$87
Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?MentionsNoResolved$1748.7¢0.0¢-$174
Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on September 26?PoliticsYesResolved$33033¢0.0¢-$330
Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2655.3¢0.0¢-$265
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$824.5¢0.0¢-$82
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?CryptoYesResolved$1.1K33¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$771.5¢0.0¢-$77
Will CoinMamba win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$911.5¢0.0¢-$91
Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$941.4¢0.0¢-$94
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$172.4¢0.0¢-$17
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?World CupNoResolved$1.8K35¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Kash Patel out by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2949.8¢0.0¢-$294
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ETCryptoUpResolved$15150¢0.0¢-$151
Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$951.5¢0.0¢-$95
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on September 26?PoliticsYesResolved$808.0¢0.0¢-$80
Will DeFi Dad win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?PoliticsYesResolved$9009.0¢0.0¢-$900
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?PoliticsYesResolved$2.1K11¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?MentionsYesResolved$2.5K51¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will 达人 Wenxue600 win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K27¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?TechNoResolved$2406.0¢0.0¢-$240
Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$9018¢0.0¢-$90
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Meta dip to $530 in December?FinanceYesResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$1021.9¢0.0¢-$102
Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$901.4¢0.0¢-$90
Will IcoBeast win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.4K28¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1391.0¢0.0¢-$139
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?World CupNoResolved$75015¢0.0¢-$750
Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$26818¢0.0¢-$268
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?TechYesResolved$602.0¢0.0¢-$60
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?EconomyYesResolved$3.4K51¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?PoliticsNoResolved$424.2¢0.0¢-$42
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Lynk win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$761.5¢0.0¢-$76
Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$33033¢0.0¢-$330
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2.4K47¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Daddy Fiskantes win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2.3K30¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will Andy win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 2?CryptoYesResolved$3984.0¢0.0¢-$398
U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?TechYesResolved$22K70¢0.0¢-$22K
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K6.6¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$1.6K16¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Under 15% by Friday?PoliticsNoResolved$44945¢0.0¢-$449
Will Galaxy win the Synthetix trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$881.5¢0.0¢-$88
Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?CryptoNoResolved$13770¢0.0¢-$137
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?CryptoNoResolved$1.8K70¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?MentionsNoResolved$22353¢0.0¢-$223

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$38K
Tech-$22K
Politics-$12K
Mentions-$11K
Other-$6.4K
Culture-$4.2K
World Cup-$2.8K
NFL-$1.4K
Economy+$771
College Hoops-$608
Other sports-$224
Weather+$21
Biggest hit
+$15K
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Toughest beat
-$15K
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2239m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2439m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2439m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2439m ago
  • Sold No · Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$701h ago
  • Bought No · Will Squid launch a token by July 31, 2026?$2702h ago
  • Sold No · Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$874h ago
  • Sold No · Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$45h ago
  • Sold No · Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$15h ago
  • Sold No · Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$15h ago
  • Sold No · Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$85h ago
  • Sold No · Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$165h ago