Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Economy | No | $7 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Japan recession in 2026?Economy | No | $4 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Decibel FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 72¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Tread FDV above $200M one day after launchCrypto | No | $4 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?Crypto | No | $4 | 87¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Soccer (other) | No | $5 | 91¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Weather | No | $5 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $4 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Economy | No | $4 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 91¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 84¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier League | No | $4 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sports | No | $4 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $4 | 87¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $47.5B by July 31?Finance | No | $5 | 90¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | No | $4 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | No | $3 | 67¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | No | $4 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 72¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
Tread FDV above $150M one day after launchCrypto | No | $5 | 90¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
USMCA extended in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 67¢ | -$1 |
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 67¢ | -$1 |
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $3 | 67¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $3 | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $4 | 72¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?Economy | No | $4 | 83¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | No | $4 | 70¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 56¢ | 60¢ | +$0 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | No | $3 | 62¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $3 | 57¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $3 | 69¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $2 | 58¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 53¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $2 | 54¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?Finance | No | $2 | 67¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $2 | 49¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Economy | No | $3 | 55¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 50¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 60¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | No | $3 | 54¢ | 42¢ | -$1 |
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 41¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $3 | 50¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $2 | 51¢ | 39¢ | -$1 |
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $2 | 34¢ | 36¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Politics | No | $2 | 31¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 43¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $2 | 31¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 TournamenteSports | NoResolved | $2 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |