← Whale Watch

operationcastle

Predicting since Sep 20241,018 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $455K on Politics markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $18K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$79K on Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$6.5K65¢67¢+$150
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$3.6K97¢98¢+$39
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.3K5.7¢8.6¢+$665
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$94822¢44¢+$927
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.1K3.5¢4.9¢+$429
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K45¢56¢+$301
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1.0K98¢99¢+$11
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$30750¢33¢-$107
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$717¢38¢+$9
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.0K55¢0.1¢-$2.0K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.7K34¢0.0¢-$1.7K
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMACurtis BlaydesResolved$2.3K47¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$4.5K45¢0.0¢-$4.5K
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$9009.0¢0.0¢-$900
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?PoliticsNoResolved$1.6K32¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$9.5K38¢0.0¢-$9.5K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K25¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$637.0¢0.0¢-$63
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$10K17¢0.0¢-$10K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?PoliticsYesResolved$95019¢0.0¢-$950
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?World CupNoResolved$2.0K40¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1411¢0.0¢-$14
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2701.3¢0.0¢-$270
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?PoliticsYesResolved$13624¢0.0¢-$136
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsNoResolved$6.6K34¢0.0¢-$6.6K
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$7.5K8.1¢0.0¢-$7.5K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8.8K18¢0.0¢-$8.8K
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$25.1¢0.0¢-$2
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K21¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$2111¢0.0¢-$21
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$282.2¢0.0¢-$28
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$8.2K38¢0.0¢-$8.2K
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.2K87¢0.0¢-$2.2K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$455K
Other+$34K
NFL-$13K
MLB+$11K
Other sports-$9.1K
Economy-$5.7K
Boxing+$3.1K
World Cup-$2.0K
Crypto+$2.0K
Tennis-$1.4K
Finance-$772
eSports-$617
Biggest hit
+$79K
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Toughest beat
-$63K
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?