 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 77¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 76¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
 GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $300 in July?Finance | No | $5 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture | No | $5 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?Politics | Yes | $5 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-17 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Google | $5 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?Finance | No | $5 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-19 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Finance | No | $4 | 87¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Soccer (other) | Yes | $4 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 92¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Tech | No | $4 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Economy | No | $4 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 92¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $4 | 86¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 88¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Anthropic | $4 | 84¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
 Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 88¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $4 | 86¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
| Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Soccer (other) | No | $4 | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $4 | 51¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 93¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Soccer (other) | No | $4 | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $4 | 87¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $4 | 84¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $4 | 84¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 80¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
 Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 71¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $4 | 82¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 73¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 73¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Sold No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$45h ago
Sold No · Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$46h ago
Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?$56h ago
Sold No · Iran leadership change by December 31?$411h ago
Sold Yes · Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$414h ago
Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$515h ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?$015h ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$015h ago
Sold No · Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?$115h ago