Notalexkarp · Whale Watch

← Whale Watch

Notalexkarp

Predicting since Oct 2025118 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$7	70¢	100¢	+$3
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$5	17¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	62¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	52¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?Tech	YesResolved	$6	32¢	0.0¢	-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	29¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	48¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech	YesResolved	$40	31¢	0.0¢	-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	21¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$4	45¢	0.0¢	-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$75	49¢	0.0¢	-$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	51¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	51¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Politics	YesResolved	$2	39¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$72	48¢	0.0¢	-$72
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$18	27¢	0.0¢	-$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	55¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	29¢	0.0¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$412

Tech+$28

Politics+$4

Mentions-$2

Culture-$2

Biggest hit

+$99

Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?

Toughest beat

-$48

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$73mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$78mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$18mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$18mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$18mo ago
Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$18mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$18mo ago
Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11AM ET$38mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET$28mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12PM ET$28mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12PM ET$18mo ago
Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$18mo ago