← Whale Watch

orin40

Predicting since Dec 20258,219 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsYes$55.3¢79¢+$73
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?PoliticsYes$910.0¢50¢+$34
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?TechYes$94.9¢20¢+$28
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$11.9¢60¢+$33
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$99.0¢24¢+$15
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?CryptoYes$910.0¢23¢+$11
Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$65.0¢18¢+$14
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?TechYes$53.7¢13¢+$13
Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?PoliticsYes$21.1¢8.3¢+$14
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$47.4¢28¢+$10
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$76.0¢9.5¢+$4
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?FinanceYes$55.0¢10¢+$5
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?PoliticsYes$44.1¢8.9¢+$5
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?UFC / MMAYes$01.1¢21¢+$8
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$10.6¢5.9¢+$8
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$1010.0¢7.8¢-$2
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherYes$1010.0¢7.6¢-$2
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?EconomyYes$44.0¢6.8¢+$3
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?FinanceYes$15.0¢28¢+$6
Will Post Malone be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?CultureYes$01.1¢22¢+$6
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$1010.0¢6.5¢-$4
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?CryptoNo$14.0¢25¢+$5
Will Kendrick Lamar be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?CultureYes$01.1¢20¢+$5
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?FinanceYes$15.0¢20¢+$4
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?PoliticsYes$88.0¢5.1¢-$3
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?WeatherYes$99.0¢4.7¢-$4
OpenAI acquired before 2027?TechYes$66.0¢4.3¢-$2
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?EconomyYes$10.3¢2.7¢+$4
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$39.0¢11¢+$1
US defaults on debt by 2027?PoliticsYes$66.0¢3.6¢-$3
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$33.3¢4.5¢+$1
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?PoliticsYes$49.0¢8.2¢-$0
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$1010.0¢3.4¢-$7
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$77.0¢3.3¢-$4
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?PoliticsYes$44.1¢3.2¢-$1
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoYes$35.5¢5.3¢-$0
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?PoliticsNo$02.0¢90¢+$2
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoYes$23.2¢3.9¢+$0
Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$55.0¢1.9¢-$3
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?CryptoYes$32.8¢2.1¢-$1
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$22.0¢2.6¢+$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?PoliticsYes$78.8¢2.4¢-$5
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$14.0¢6.3¢+$1
Will Petr Yan be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?UFC / MMAYes$12.0¢5.5¢+$1
Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$00.2¢1.8¢+$2
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$00.2¢37¢+$2
Will Steve Garcia be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$11.3¢2.8¢+$1
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$13.7¢6.0¢+$1
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisYes$06.0¢50¢+$2
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoYes$23.6¢4.0¢+$0
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$21.1¢0.9¢-$0
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?CryptoYes$04.0¢25¢+$1
Will Cory Sandhagen be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$10.7¢1.3¢+$1
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?PoliticsYes$33.2¢1.1¢-$2
Will Drake be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?CultureYes$01.1¢5.8¢+$1
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$11.3¢1.8¢+$0
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?EconomyYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Francisco Cerúndolo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alexei Popyrin be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Julie Menin be the democratic nominee for NY-12?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tallon Griekspoor be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Michael Scanlon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?TechYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Andrey Rublev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?TennisYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Marin Čilić be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Cynthia Nixon be the democratic nominee for NY-12?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$03.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$21.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?PoliticsNoResolved$02.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alex Michelsen be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?TennisYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Emma Navarro be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?TennisYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?TennisYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$66.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will Brycen Garrison win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$24.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$306
Politics+$169
UFC / MMA+$60
Culture-$60
Tech+$39
Weather-$24
Tennis-$18
Finance+$11
Mentions-$11
Economy+$11
eSports+$8
Other sports-$4
Biggest hit
+$94
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 19 be less than 2,250,000?
Toughest beat
-$17
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$01mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$01mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$01mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Matt Miller be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$01mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?$01mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Jason Cherry win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$01mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?$21mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$01mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$21mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$01mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Sebastian Korda be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$01mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Tomáš Macháč be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$01mo ago