← Whale Watch

WilliamAckman

Predicting since Aug 2024199 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.2K on Mentions markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $782 across 4 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$8016¢7.0¢-$45
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$10713¢0.0¢-$107
US recession in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$22055¢0.0¢-$220
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$293.9¢0.0¢-$29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$11812¢0.0¢-$118
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$422.1¢0.0¢-$42
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2259.0¢0.0¢-$225
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1758.7¢0.0¢-$175
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2283.9¢0.0¢-$228
Will Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?MentionsNoResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$207.9¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?MentionsNoResolved$291.0¢0.0¢-$29
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?PoliticsYesResolved$24060¢0.0¢-$240
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$20047¢0.0¢-$200
Will Trump say "Gaza" 10+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?MentionsYesResolved$9262¢0.0¢-$92
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1452.9¢0.0¢-$145
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$23764¢0.0¢-$237
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in October?PoliticsYesResolved$298.0¢0.0¢-$29

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Mentions+$1.2K
Economy-$220
Culture+$65
Politics+$61
Tech-$32
Finance+$24
NBA-$20
Crypto+$5
Boxing+$3
Biggest hit
+$730
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Toughest beat
-$511
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$8995d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump visit China by April 30?$50018d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$1085mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1655mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$425mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1545mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$615mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$2255mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$05mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$405mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$945mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$35mo ago