TheBud

Predicting since Sep 2025190 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Politics	Yes	$167	81¢	92¢	+$21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics	No	$145	72¢	88¢	+$30
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics	No	$119	79¢	89¢	+$15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$114	78¢	87¢	+$12
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics	No	$92	74¢	95¢	+$26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics	No	$100	83¢	97¢	+$17
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics	No	$97	80¢	94¢	+$16
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics	No	$99	83¢	93¢	+$12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$91	82¢	95¢	+$14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	No	$69	69¢	98¢	+$29
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics	No	$80	80¢	95¢	+$15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	No	$56	56¢	72¢	+$15
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$56	94¢	98¢	+$2
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics	No	$47	79¢	77¢	-$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$37	53¢	63¢	+$7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$48	48¢	43¢	-$5
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics	Yes	$12	30¢	72¢	+$17
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics	No	$25	70¢	72¢	+$1
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics	No	$17	60¢	84¢	+$7
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?Economy	Yes	$14	9.3¢	9.5¢	+$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$23	29¢	16¢	-$11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	No	$28	55¢	15¢	-$20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics	Yes	$16	27¢	6.5¢	-$12
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?Politics	Yes	$6	12¢	3.8¢	-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$414

Culture+$52

NBA+$46

Economy-$11

World Cup+$10

Mentions-$4

Weather+$2

Tech+$1

Other+$0

Biggest hit

+$91

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Toughest beat

-$224

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?$03d ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$03d ago
Cashed out No · Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$03d ago
Cashed out Yes · Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$03d ago
Cashed out No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$03d ago
Cashed out No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$03d ago
Bought No · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$224d ago
Bought No · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$14d ago
Bought No · Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$474d ago
Bought No · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?$214d ago
Bought No · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?$34d ago
Bought No · Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?$574d ago