← Whale Watch

0xd501DD1C724088c440F9BE43A88Bf242b98a1814-1774573287605

Predicting since Mar 2026614 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$320¢57¢+$5
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$113¢24¢+$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$138¢63¢+$1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$154¢88¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$155¢99¢+$1
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$139¢56¢+$1
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$152¢87¢+$1
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$155¢76¢+$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$258¢80¢+$1
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$270¢88¢+$0
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$179¢100¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$172¢89¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$182¢99¢+$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$179¢95¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$179¢95¢+$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$169¢81¢+$0
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$185¢100¢+$0
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$185¢100¢+$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$268¢80¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$285¢99¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$137¢64¢+$1
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$421¢9.0¢-$2
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$186¢97¢+$0
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$261¢69¢+$0
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?PoliticsNo$185¢95¢+$0
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$173¢87¢+$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$187¢96¢+$0
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?PoliticsNo$186¢93¢+$0
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYes$140¢51¢+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$254¢57¢+$0
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsNo$183¢87¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$126¢27¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$191¢94¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$189¢97¢+$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsNo$183¢84¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$193¢95¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$193¢95¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$193¢94¢+$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$181¢88¢+$0
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$187¢86¢-$0
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?CultureNo$172¢100¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$216¢16¢-$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$156¢67¢+$0
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$185¢81¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$296¢92¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$178¢84¢+$0
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBAYes$188¢98¢+$0
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$186¢93¢+$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$131¢27¢-$0
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsYes$186¢89¢+$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$127¢28¢+$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$132¢33¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$186¢87¢+$0
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$135¢34¢-$0
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$146¢38¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$169¢68¢-$0
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsNo$177¢64¢-$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$150¢58¢+$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$176¢73¢-$0
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$162¢60¢-$0
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$162¢59¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$170¢83¢+$0
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$187¢81¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$174¢67¢-$0
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$189¢100¢+$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$272¢32¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$120¢17¢-$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$181¢88¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$215¢11¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$191¢94¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$194¢95¢+$0
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?CultureNoResolved$179¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$87
Tech+$9
Mentions+$6
Economy-$3
Crypto-$2
Culture-$2
eSports-$2
College Hoops+$1
Champions League+$1
UFC / MMA-$1
Finance-$1
NFL+$0
Biggest hit
+$21
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$6
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and lose the 2026 Texas Senate General Election?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?$048m ago
  • Bought No · Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?$153m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$03h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$03h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$04h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$04h ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$05h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$05h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$15h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$05h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$05h ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$06h ago