Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $25K | 50¢ | 80¢ | +$15K |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $24K | 14¢ | 18¢ | +$6.3K |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $25K | 50¢ | 20¢ | -$15K |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $18K | 2.1¢ | 0.7¢ | -$13K |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $5.3K | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$106 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Other sports | No | $5.2K | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $2.0K | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$4 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$127 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 28¢ | 31¢ | +$174 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.4K | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$53 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $676 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$13 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $331 | 52¢ | 77¢ | +$156 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $18K | 17¢ | 0.4¢ | -$17K |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $520 | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$99 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $373 | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$37 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $425 | 85¢ | 81¢ | -$23 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | No | $377 | 52¢ | 54¢ | +$9 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $371 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$8 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $312 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$17 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $259 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $18K | 17¢ | 0.1¢ | -$18K |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $160 | 3.6¢ | 3.2¢ | -$17 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $128 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | No | $64 | 64¢ | 73¢ | +$9 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $54 | 62¢ | 72¢ | +$8 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 62¢ | 98¢ | +$20 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $43 | 7.4¢ | 7.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $28 | 56¢ | 76¢ | +$10 |
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 26¢ | +$7 |
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $23 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $27 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $460 | 17¢ | 0.7¢ | -$441 |
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $7 | 4.9¢ | 8.1¢ | +$5 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 2.2¢ | 3.8¢ | +$5 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $614 | 56¢ | 0.8¢ | -$606 |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 62¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $90 | 52¢ | 0.9¢ | -$88 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $20K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20K |
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $25K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25K |
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Other | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $266 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$266 |
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?World Cup | NoResolved | $12 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $18 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5World Cup | OverResolved | $4 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Conor McGregorResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?World Cup | NoResolved | $4 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $20K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20K |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Tech | NoResolved | $11 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $25K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25K |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Tech | YesResolved | $38 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?World Cup | NoResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $20K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20K |
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $4 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Tech | NoResolved | $7 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $1.0K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | CanadaResolved | $8 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $38 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
France vs. England: Team to WinWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $33 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?World Cup | YesResolved | $12 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?World Cup | YesResolved | $294 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$294 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?World Cup | YesResolved | $294 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$294 |
Will France win on 2026-06-22?World Cup | NoResolved | $3 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $10 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?World Cup | YesResolved | $294 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$294 |
Will England win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $20K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20K |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $190 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$190 |
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $37 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?World Cup | YesResolved | $294 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$294 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?World Cup | YesResolved | $294 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$294 |
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $13 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?World Cup | YesResolved | $294 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$294 |