← Whale Watch

TBill1

Predicting since May 2026307 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $33K on World Cup markets since May 2026.

Right now: $78K across 5 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$110K on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$25K50¢80¢+$15K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$24K14¢18¢+$6.3K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$25K50¢20¢-$15K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$18K2.1¢0.7¢-$13K
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$5.3K86¢88¢+$106
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Other sportsNo$5.2K97¢97¢+$6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$2.0K58¢57¢-$4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.5K73¢79¢+$127
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.3K28¢31¢+$174
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?TechNo$1.4K65¢63¢-$53
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechNo$67686¢88¢+$13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$33152¢77¢+$156
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$18K17¢0.4¢-$17K
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$52022¢18¢-$99
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$37375¢82¢+$37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?TechNo$42585¢81¢-$23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechNo$37752¢54¢+$9
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$37166¢68¢+$8
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?TechNo$31293¢98¢+$17
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$25994¢96¢+$6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$18K17¢0.1¢-$18K
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1603.6¢3.2¢-$17
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12897¢99¢+$2
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$6464¢73¢+$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$5462¢72¢+$8
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6084¢87¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3462¢98¢+$20
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$437.4¢7.0¢-$3
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$2856¢76¢+$10
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$2020¢26¢+$7
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$2315¢16¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2723¢19¢-$5
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$46017¢0.7¢-$441
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$74.9¢8.1¢+$5
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$72.2¢3.8¢+$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$61456¢0.8¢-$606
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?PoliticsNo$762¢65¢+$0
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$9052¢0.9¢-$88
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$20K33¢0.0¢-$20K
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$37.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$25K33¢0.0¢-$25K
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?OtherYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$143.6¢0.0¢-$14
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2661.7¢0.0¢-$266
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?World CupNoResolved$122.4¢0.0¢-$12
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1653¢0.0¢-$16
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1816¢0.0¢-$18
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$30.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$180.3¢0.0¢-$18
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5World CupOverResolved$41.4¢0.0¢-$4
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$100.1¢0.0¢-$10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$3214¢0.0¢-$32
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?World CupNoResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$20K33¢0.0¢-$20K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026TechNoResolved$1140¢0.0¢-$11
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$25K33¢0.0¢-$25K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?TechYesResolved$387.7¢0.0¢-$38
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1417¢0.0¢-$14
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?CryptoYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?World CupNoResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?TechYesResolved$3015¢0.0¢-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$20K33¢0.0¢-$20K
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?PoliticsYesResolved$430¢0.0¢-$4
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoNoResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?TechNoResolved$76.6¢0.0¢-$7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K14¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?PoliticsYesResolved$2413¢0.0¢-$24
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupCanadaResolved$80.1¢0.0¢-$8
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?PoliticsNoResolved$30.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$388.1¢0.0¢-$38
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?TechYesResolved$155.3¢0.0¢-$15
France vs. England: Team to WinWorld CupFranceResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$2315¢0.0¢-$23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$3325¢0.0¢-$33
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?World CupYesResolved$126.2¢0.0¢-$12
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$2945.9¢0.0¢-$294
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$2945.9¢0.0¢-$294
Will France win on 2026-06-22?World CupNoResolved$35.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?FinanceYesResolved$102.1¢0.0¢-$10
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$2945.9¢0.0¢-$294
Will England win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$20K33¢0.0¢-$20K
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$7515¢0.0¢-$75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$19038¢0.0¢-$190
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?PoliticsNoResolved$3666¢0.0¢-$36
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3754¢0.0¢-$37
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$2945.9¢0.0¢-$294
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$2945.9¢0.0¢-$294
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$100.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$48.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$131.3¢0.0¢-$13
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$2945.9¢0.0¢-$294

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$33K
Politics-$25K
Mentions-$2.0K
Crypto+$1.4K
Tech+$1.3K
Other sports+$1.1K
UFC / MMA+$510
Champions League+$295
eSports+$250
Economy+$237
Finance-$10
Culture-$5
Biggest hit
+$110K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Toughest beat
-$54K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$7301d ago
  • SPLIT Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$50K1d ago
  • MERGE Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.0K1d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4721d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$51d ago