← Whale Watch

thebloodangel

Predicting since Oct 2024211 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $11K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $8.7K across 5 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$8.2K on Iran closes its airspace by June 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$1.0K57¢56¢-$9
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K34¢34¢-$15
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?TechNo$1.0K69¢67¢-$38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5009.8¢14¢+$239
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$65736¢38¢+$32
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$31835¢36¢+$5
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$50011¢6.5¢-$196
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$47022¢13¢-$198
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNo$20169¢75¢+$18
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$13463¢94¢+$65
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsYes$10011¢18¢+$69
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?PoliticsYes$9130¢54¢+$73
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$25228¢14¢-$122
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$26343¢19¢-$150
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?EconomyYes$4013¢33¢+$61
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$22017¢5.5¢-$148
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$6939¢30¢-$16
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?EconomyNo$2036¢85¢+$28
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$10011¢3.5¢-$69
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?PoliticsYes$33.3¢1.6¢-$2
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSportsEDward GamingResolved$19533¢0.0¢-$195
Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10015¢0.0¢-$100
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$205.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20019¢0.0¢-$200
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?PoliticsNoResolved$3.0K58¢0.0¢-$3.0K
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?TechYesResolved$57045¢0.0¢-$570
Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4812¢0.0¢-$48
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?PoliticsYesResolved$5757¢0.0¢-$57
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?EconomyYesResolved$60014¢0.0¢-$600
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnereSportsBNK FEARXResolved$10028¢0.0¢-$100
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$10025¢0.0¢-$100
Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$6914¢0.0¢-$69
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$20014¢0.0¢-$200
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1108.0¢0.0¢-$110
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsBNK FEARXResolved$12015¢0.0¢-$120
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$208.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$112.2¢0.0¢-$11
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$10022¢0.0¢-$100
Trump out as President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2973.1¢0.0¢-$297
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$8211¢0.0¢-$82
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?TechNoResolved$30030¢0.0¢-$300
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$287.0¢0.0¢-$28
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?PoliticsYesResolved$2313¢0.0¢-$23
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3535¢0.0¢-$35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$100.1¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7.3K40¢0.0¢-$7.3K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$10035¢0.0¢-$100
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?PoliticsNoResolved$5016¢0.0¢-$50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$200.2¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3003.7¢0.0¢-$300
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K71¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Trump say "Alien Dot Gov" or "Aliens Dot Gov" in April?MentionsYesResolved$1313¢0.0¢-$13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3007.0¢0.0¢-$300
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$43024¢0.0¢-$430
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?TechYesResolved$3043¢0.0¢-$30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3517¢0.0¢-$35
Will "I Love Boosters" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYesResolved$8023¢0.0¢-$80
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?TechYesResolved$124.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$40046¢0.0¢-$400
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$9018¢0.0¢-$90
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8500.4¢0.0¢-$850
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2929¢0.0¢-$29
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?EconomyYesResolved$1005.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?PoliticsNoResolved$10515¢0.0¢-$105
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15027¢0.0¢-$150
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 27?WeatherYesResolved$1016¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$101.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?PoliticsYesResolved$10023¢0.0¢-$100
James Comey arrested by April 29?PoliticsNoResolved$503.8¢0.0¢-$50
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?TechYesResolved$1.0K51¢0.0¢-$1.0K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10017¢0.0¢-$100
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?PoliticsYesResolved$4002.8¢0.0¢-$400
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$2.6K32¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Trump visit China by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2520¢0.0¢-$25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?WeatherYesResolved$9858¢0.0¢-$98

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$11K
Tech-$4.1K
Economy-$754
NHL-$413
eSports-$253
Tennis-$215
NBA-$202
Champions League-$118
Weather-$107
La Liga-$81
Other+$48
Soccer (other)-$29
Biggest hit
+$8.2K
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.1K1d ago
  • Bought No · Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2053d ago
  • Bought No · Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$13d ago
  • Bought No · Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$185d ago
  • Bought No · Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$966d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.0K6d ago