2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $1.0K | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$9 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1.0K | 34¢ | 34¢ | -$15 |
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech | No | $1.0K | 69¢ | 67¢ | -$38 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $500 | 9.8¢ | 14¢ | +$239 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $657 | 36¢ | 38¢ | +$32 |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $318 | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$5 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $500 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$196 |
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $470 | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$198 |
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $201 | 69¢ | 75¢ | +$18 |
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $134 | 63¢ | 94¢ | +$65 |
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | Yes | $100 | 11¢ | 18¢ | +$69 |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Politics | Yes | $91 | 30¢ | 54¢ | +$73 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $252 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$122 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $263 | 43¢ | 19¢ | -$150 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $40 | 13¢ | 33¢ | +$61 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $220 | 17¢ | 5.5¢ | -$148 |
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $69 | 39¢ | 30¢ | -$16 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Economy | No | $20 | 36¢ | 85¢ | +$28 |
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | No | $100 | 11¢ | 3.5¢ | -$69 |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.3¢ | 1.6¢ | -$2 |
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports | EDward GamingResolved | $195 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$195 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Politics | NoResolved | $3.0K | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.0K |
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $570 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$570 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $48 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?Politics | YesResolved | $57 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $600 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$600 |
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnereSports | BNK FEARXResolved | $100 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $110 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSports | BNK FEARXResolved | $120 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Trump out as President by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $297 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$297 |
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $82 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Tech | NoResolved | $300 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7.3K | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.3K |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $300 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.3K | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
Will Trump say "Alien Dot Gov" or "Aliens Dot Gov" in April?Mentions | YesResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $430 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$430 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will "I Love Boosters" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | YesResolved | $80 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $400 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $90 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $850 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$850 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?Politics | NoResolved | $105 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 27?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
James Comey arrested by April 29?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?Politics | YesResolved | $400 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2.6K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.6K |
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?Weather | YesResolved | $98 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |