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Bonfie

Predicting since Oct 202556 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?TechYesResolved$243¢100¢+$3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsNoResolved$257¢100¢+$2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsYesResolved$257¢100¢+$2
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?TechYes$248¢62¢+$1
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?TechYesResolved$152¢100¢+$1
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$158¢100¢+$1
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?PoliticsNoResolved$163¢100¢+$1
Will Google say "Nano Banana" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$176¢100¢+$0
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?TechNoResolved$186¢100¢+$0
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?TechNoResolved$187¢100¢+$0
Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?PoliticsNoResolved$187¢100¢+$0
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?PoliticsNoResolved$192¢100¢+$0
Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?PoliticsNoResolved$195¢100¢+$0
Will Google say "Gemini 3" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$195¢100¢+$0
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 20?FinanceUpResolved$185¢0.0¢-$1
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?PoliticsYesResolved$168¢0.0¢-$1
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$154¢0.0¢-$1
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?PoliticsNoResolved$193¢0.0¢-$1
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?PoliticsYesResolved$1155¢0.0¢-$11
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?TechYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be no coalition by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q4 2025TechYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?EconomyYesResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?TechYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$197¢0.0¢-$1
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Diner" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$172¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?TechYesResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?PoliticsNoResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?PoliticsYesResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?TechYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$13
Tech-$2
Economy-$1
Finance+$1
Mentions-$1
Biggest hit
+$4
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Toughest beat
-$0
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Google say "Nano Banana" during earnings call?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Google say "Gemini 3" during earnings call?$16mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$16mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Grok 5 released by December 31?$16mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$16mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$16mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will no CEO be announced in 2025?$16mo ago