Greed.

Predicting since Mar 2026537 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.1K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $1.5K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on Iran leadership change by December 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$1.2K	61¢	56¢	-$92
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics	Yes	$1.0K	59¢	67¢	+$118
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$516	42¢	42¢	-$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics	Yes	$309	40¢	64¢	+$177
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$300	25¢	25¢	+$4
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics	Yes	$130	34¢	48¢	+$54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	Yes	$300	24¢	14¢	-$118
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	Yes	$50	16¢	57¢	+$130
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics	No	$149	66¢	74¢	+$16
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics	No	$90	59¢	71¢	+$18
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	No	$110	59¢	56¢	-$6
Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics	No	$100	97¢	99¢	+$2
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$47	18¢	30¢	+$32
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics	Yes	$276	20¢	5.5¢	-$200
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics	No	$70	96¢	99¢	+$3
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$50	64¢	67¢	+$2
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics	No	$50	91¢	90¢	-$1
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Politics	No	$50	39¢	34¢	-$6
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?Politics	No	$18	16¢	31¢	+$17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	No	$30	82¢	87¢	+$2
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$30	4.3¢	4.0¢	-$2
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$26	12¢	12¢	-$1
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics	No	$1	68¢	78¢	+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Finance	NoResolved	$80	46¢	0.0¢	-$80

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$4.1K

Tech-$145

Crypto+$138

Mentions+$134

eSports-$100

Other sports-$91

Finance-$80

Weather-$59

World Cup+$22

UFC / MMA-$20

Culture+$20

Economy-$16

Biggest hit

+$1.4K

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Toughest beat

-$4.2K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3034m ago
Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by August 15?$3435m ago
Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by August 15?$1235m ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$337h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$1007h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$107h ago
Bought No · Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$108h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1010h ago
Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$9618h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$341d ago
Cashed out Plex · La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloo$6981d ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$141d ago