← Whale Watch

SerfHayek

Predicting since Nov 202458 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?CultureNoResolved$1537¢0.0¢-$15
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?PoliticsYesResolved$75.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will Ms. Rachel be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?PoliticsYesResolved$84.2¢0.0¢-$8
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?TechYesResolved$504.0¢0.0¢-$50
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?PoliticsYesResolved$12756¢0.0¢-$127
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4079¢0.0¢-$40
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?PoliticsYesResolved$5353¢0.0¢-$53
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?PoliticsYesResolved$2036¢0.0¢-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?PoliticsYesResolved$4145¢0.0¢-$41
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$2073¢0.0¢-$20
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?PoliticsYesResolved$3055¢0.0¢-$30
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?PoliticsYesResolved$5046¢0.0¢-$50
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? PoliticsYesResolved$8154¢0.0¢-$81

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$60
Formula 1+$44
Culture+$14
Tech+$12
UFC / MMA+$11
Politics+$10
Biggest hit
+$128
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Toughest beat
-$503
Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$362mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$04mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$904mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$306mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$416mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition$256mo ago
  • Cashed out No · US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$396mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?$607mo ago
  • Bought No · Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$157mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$127mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$37mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$57mo ago