← Whale Watch

nifty-mcarthy

Predicting since Mar 20264,156 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.1K on Crypto markets since Mar 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$16017¢17¢+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$12099¢99¢+$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?CryptoYes$6057¢44¢-$14
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$4095¢99¢+$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$2010¢8.5¢-$3
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoYes$7027¢5.3¢-$56
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsYes$1610¢6.5¢-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
XRP Up or Down - July 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
BNB Up or Down - July 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
BNB Up or Down - July 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
BNB Up or Down - July 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
XRP Up or Down - July 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$59.1¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
BNB Up or Down - July 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
BNB Up or Down - July 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$39.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
BNB Up or Down - July 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
BNB Up or Down - July 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
BNB Up or Down - July 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
BNB Up or Down - July 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
BNB Up or Down - July 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
BNB Up or Down - July 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
XRP Up or Down - July 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
BNB Up or Down - July 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - July 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$2.1K
Politics-$80
Champions League-$9
Tennis-$8
NBA-$4
Tech-$4
eSports+$4
World Cup-$3
NFL-$3
Soccer (other)-$2
Formula 1-$1
Culture-$1
Biggest hit
+$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Toughest beat
-$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$301h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$407h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$427h ago
  • Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$1587h ago
  • Bought Up · BNB Up or Down - July 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$07h ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$07h ago
  • Bought Down · XRP Up or Down - July 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$07h ago
  • Bought Down · XRP Up or Down - July 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$07h ago
  • Bought Up · BNB Up or Down - July 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$07h ago
  • Bought Up · BNB Up or Down - July 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$07h ago
  • Bought Down · XRP Up or Down - July 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$07h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$07h ago