← Whale Watch

Marco-Rubio

Predicting since Nov 20251,127 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $16K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $9.0K riding on Iran Nuke before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$9.0K90¢95¢+$498
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.4K99¢99¢+$23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$4.1K83¢95¢+$595
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.0K90¢95¢+$237
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$2.2K56¢74¢+$699
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.5K66¢74¢+$169
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.6K79¢74¢-$110
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$87087¢95¢+$85
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$1.4K58¢40¢-$434
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$38338¢62¢+$238
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsYes$49182¢84¢+$9
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsYes$60841¢32¢-$135
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$36485¢94¢+$37
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?PoliticsNo$39598¢96¢-$9
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$45345¢38¢-$78
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8825¢97¢+$253
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$25327¢21¢-$60
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$26311¢6.0¢-$121
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsYes$15121¢19¢-$18
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$43725¢7.5¢-$306
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$47411¢3.0¢-$344
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1905.7¢2.2¢-$117
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4610¢12¢+$9
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$681.8¢1.3¢-$19
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsYes$37521¢2.5¢-$331
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$260.8¢1.4¢+$18
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2274¢99¢+$7
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.8¢+$2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$210.6¢0.8¢+$7
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$160.8¢0.9¢+$3
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$361.1¢0.6¢-$17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$160.8¢0.9¢+$2
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$353.2¢1.3¢-$21
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsNo$16547¢3.1¢-$154
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsNo$13415¢0.9¢-$125
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$91.0¢0.5¢-$4
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$152.4¢0.6¢-$11
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$30.6¢0.7¢+$0
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$10.6¢1.1¢+$1
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$121¢34¢+$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$20012¢0.0¢-$200
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1617¢0.0¢-$16
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$21011¢0.0¢-$210

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$16K
Crypto+$1.4K
Mentions+$124
NFL+$78
Tech+$29
Other-$13
Culture+$9
Weather+$4
Soccer (other)+$2
Biggest hit
+$2.0K
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
Toughest beat
-$1.2K
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$12h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$32h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$2212h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$2415h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$1815h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$515h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.8K1d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$451d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$1421d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$8761d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?$3761d ago