 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4.6K | 71¢ | 81¢ | +$706 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $1.9K | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$228 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $509 | 32¢ | 67¢ | +$544 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Something | $1.3K | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$380 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $667 | 67¢ | 82¢ | +$146 |
 Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $739 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $685 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$57 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $685 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$31 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $639 | 73¢ | 82¢ | +$76 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $624 | 56¢ | 58¢ | +$21 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $688 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$130 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $490 | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$61 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $973 | 63¢ | 32¢ | -$484 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $296 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$78 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $197 | 39¢ | 71¢ | +$156 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $546 | 29¢ | 18¢ | -$209 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | No | $230 | 59¢ | 81¢ | +$84 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $299 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$7 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $296 | 59¢ | 61¢ | +$8 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $251 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$46 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $234 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$47 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $221 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$17 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $116 | 42¢ | 77¢ | +$97 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $180 | 36¢ | 40¢ | +$17 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $191 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $79 | 26¢ | 61¢ | +$103 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $267 | 27¢ | 18¢ | -$89 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $202 | 22¢ | 19¢ | -$32 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $271 | 54¢ | 32¢ | -$113 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $101 | 25¢ | 33¢ | +$29 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $205 | 67¢ | 40¢ | -$84 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $119 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$9 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | Yes | $164 | 42¢ | 26¢ | -$62 |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $75 | 78¢ | 97¢ | +$19 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $154 | 56¢ | 31¢ | -$70 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $32 | 38¢ | 88¢ | +$42 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $79 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$9 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $107 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$53 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $33 | 46¢ | 68¢ | +$16 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $36 | 49¢ | 55¢ | +$4 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $65 | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$26 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | No | $51 | 61¢ | 31¢ | -$25 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | Yes | $48 | 16¢ | 6.5¢ | -$29 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $8 | 36¢ | 69¢ | +$7 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $292 | 37¢ | 1.8¢ | -$278 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $14 | 88¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Politics | No | $264 | 66¢ | 3.1¢ | -$251 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 48¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $14 | 64¢ | 41¢ | -$5 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 51¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $7 | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 20¢ | 7.9¢ | -$12 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 46¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 44¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $7 | 36¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 29¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.5¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $671 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$671 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $202 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$202 |
