 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.7K | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$343 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3.1K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$40 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 39¢ | 64¢ | +$1.2K |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 44¢ | 58¢ | +$669 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.5K | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$45 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $2.6K | 56¢ | 43¢ | -$643 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 54¢ | 34¢ | -$1.0K |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $1.1K | 72¢ | 91¢ | +$297 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $685 | 60¢ | 85¢ | +$275 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $422 | 42¢ | 63¢ | +$219 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $843 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$243 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $534 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$51 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $226 | 33¢ | 76¢ | +$294 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $510 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$15 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $417 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$19 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $373 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$53 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $120 | 30¢ | 93¢ | +$252 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $335 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$36 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $490 | 49¢ | 37¢ | -$125 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $197 | 39¢ | 73¢ | +$168 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Politics | No | $327 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$26 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $264 | 66¢ | 84¢ | +$70 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $296 | 59¢ | 64¢ | +$23 |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $194 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$20 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $162 | 54¢ | 65¢ | +$31 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $88 | 29¢ | 63¢ | +$101 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $180 | 36¢ | 37¢ | +$5 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | No | $148 | 4.6¢ | 5.3¢ | +$24 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | No | $380 | 33¢ | 14¢ | -$216 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $426 | 23¢ | 8.5¢ | -$268 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $271 | 54¢ | 28¢ | -$131 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $368 | 62¢ | 23¢ | -$234 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $196 | 64¢ | 37¢ | -$84 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $140 | 35¢ | 27¢ | -$32 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $72 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$10 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $72 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $83 | 21¢ | 15¢ | -$24 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $48 | 67¢ | 73¢ | +$4 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | -$11 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 44¢ | 92¢ | +$17 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | Yes | $27 | 61¢ | 67¢ | +$2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $64 | 16¢ | 7.2¢ | -$35 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | -$39 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $259 | 65¢ | 6.5¢ | -$233 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | No | $23 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | Yes | $12 | 62¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | -$19 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $7 | 61¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | No | $7 | 38¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | Yes | $101 | 25¢ | 2.0¢ | -$93 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $7 | 36¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 54¢ | 14¢ | -$15 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 36¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 93¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $3 | 56¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1 | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $133 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Bought Yes · Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?$06h ago