← Whale Watch

tomatosauce

Predicting since Jan 2025622 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.6K on Politics markets since Jan 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
5kt meteor strike in 2026?WeatherNo$1267¢74¢+$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$478¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?CultureYesResolved$1152.4¢0.0¢-$115
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$17.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 250–264 times August 29–September 5?CultureYesResolved$51.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will Oracle be the most valuable company on October 31?EconomyYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$642.5¢0.0¢-$64
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$70.3¢0.0¢-$7
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? PoliticsNoResolved$300.2¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$631¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon tweet 265–279 times August 29–September 5?CultureYesResolved$52.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5PM ETCryptoUpResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Tigers vs. GuardiansMLBTigersResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ETCryptoUpResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?PoliticsNoResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?EconomyNoResolved$53.2¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$179¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?CultureYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$227.3¢0.0¢-$22
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?PoliticsNoResolved$1391.3¢0.0¢-$139
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?PoliticsYesResolved$166¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Other be the most valuable company on October 31?EconomyYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$227¢0.0¢-$2
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?PoliticsNoResolved$500.2¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 280–294 times August 29–September 5?CultureYesResolved$62.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?PoliticsYesResolved$13.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberPoliticsYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times August 29–September 5?CultureYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3PM ETCryptoDownResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7AM ETCryptoDownResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$32.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times August 29–September 5?CultureYesResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?PoliticsYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3AM ETCryptoUpResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times August 29–September 5?CultureYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$132.8¢0.0¢-$13
Will Elon tweet between 580 and 599 times September 5–12?PoliticsYesResolved$70.1¢0.0¢-$7
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times August 29–September 5?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Phase Two" during Egypt summit?MentionsNoResolved$336.5¢0.0¢-$33
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?WeatherYesResolved$14.8¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$584¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on September 13?CryptoYesResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?EconomyYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1085¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$47.4¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$321¢0.0¢-$3
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7AM ETCryptoDownResolved$782¢0.0¢-$7
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12AM ETCryptoUpResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2061¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Military" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?MentionsYesResolved$16.5¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon tweet 295–309 times August 29–September 5?CultureYesResolved$64.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?MentionsYesResolved$152¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 175–189 times August 29–September 5?CultureYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?PoliticsNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$23.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?EconomyYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 12?CryptoYesResolved$50.6¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.6K
Culture-$1.2K
Other-$368
Crypto-$172
Mentions-$150
MLB-$63
Tech+$62
NBA-$53
Economy-$13
eSports+$10
Premier League-$2
Soccer (other)-$1
Biggest hit
+$454
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?
Toughest beat
-$570
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · 5kt meteor strike in 2026?$122mo ago
  • Bought Down · Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$13mo ago
  • Bought Down · Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$13mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$13mo ago
  • Bought No · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$33mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$13mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$13mo ago
  • Bought No · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$13mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$13mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Military" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$13mo ago
  • Sold No · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$23mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$13mo ago